Paddypower Power Prices

RP Postcast NAP
£5 West Ham, Nttm Forest, & Oxford all to win @ 15.0

Skybet Priceboost

£7 Liverpool & West Brom to win & Chelsea to draw with Sheffield Utd (was 8/1) @ 11/1
£3 Liverpool, West Brom & Sheffield Utd all to win (was 12/1) @ 18/1

Chelsea are creating lots of chances but are not the most solid at the back and on the road they have actually only won 2 of their last 7. Even in winning at Villa and Palace both of those matches could have ended in draws so I think Sheff Utd could be good enough to at least avoid defeat. I will cover the home win but want most profit on the draw, assuming the other two results (where we dont have the options) come in.

Paddypower £10 Racing Refund FB

21:57 Keeneland (US) Jolie Olimpica £10 FB @ 4.0 

Paddypower MBS 14:25 Newmarket

£10 Odeyssey Girl @ 7.0

Skybet MBS Race 13:50 Newmarket

£10 Finest Sound @ 3.0

Betfred £5 Risk Free UFC

Usman v Masvidal

Pick Your Punt – Bet Requests
Usman To Win By Ko/Tko Via Punches £5 @ 9/4

This one doesn’t look likely to go the full distance and Usman’s last two inside the distance were by punches TKO/KO.

Betfred Bet £10 get £5 (inplay)

Qualifier:
I will post an example via twitter at HT in the early kick off (so about 1:15pm)

FB advice Sunday

Betfair Sportsbook FB

Watford v Newcastle (12:30)
Same Game Multi
Draw and BTTS
£5 Double @ 4.65

Newcastle have been more attacking since securing their safety and Watford whilst being leaky will need to come forward and should also score, the home side in particular might see a point as something to hold onto this weekend so that looks a decent option here.

Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples (opt in first)

Qualifier

Brighton v Man City (20:00)
Handicap Match Result
Brighton ( + 2 ) @2.0
Atletico Madrid v Betis (21:00)
Atletico Madrid @1.4

£10 Double @2.80

Its easy to be in awe of City with their home wins over Newcastle, Liverpool, Burnley and Arsenal since the restart being very impressive. On the road however they have lost 3 of their last 4 and haven’t over come a 2 goal handicap away from home since Aston Villa away in January. City could be excused for lacking focus here with their PL position assured and the Champions League on the horizon and although City could absolutely turn it on, the value looks to be with the home side having a 2 goal start. In Spain Atlei have won 7 of their last 9 at home and 6 of the last 7 H2H with Betis. With a Champion League spot to secure their focus should be there and a home win looks a solid bet.

Also today:
Coral HT Winner – I will tweet qualifiers for those following this one.

Skybet Priceboost Treble

Skybet are being generous with this one, having gotten off the hook with West Ham coming from behind to beat Chelsea midweek.
£10 Man Utd, Leicester and Leeds all to win @ 7/2

Skybet  – Money Back as Cash If your horse finishes 2nd in 14.25 Epsom

£10 Safe Voyage @ 2.10

Skybet  – Money Back as Cash If your horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th in 16.55 Epsom

£10 English King @ 5.00

Keeping these simple today, cant have Kameko in the Derby over the mile and a half and that price could mean English King is a value favourite.

Paddypower £5 FreeBets: Claim via banners.

Paddypower 14:25 Epsom £5 FB Oh This Is Us @ 7.50

Chelsea v Watford £5 FB (20:00 ko)

#WhatOddsPaddy up to 9/1-
Chelsea to win 2-0 or 3-0 @ 4.20

Boylesports £10 FB (refund from Thursday’s offer)

Juventus v Torino (16:15)
Juventus to win to Nil @ 1.95
Wolves v Arsenal (17:30)
Wolves @ 2.30

£10 FB double @ 3.49

Betfair Sportsbook £5 FB

Wolves v Arsenal (17:30)
Half With Most Goals – Second Half @2.2
Leverkusen v Bayern Munich (German Cup Final 19:00)
Bayern Munich And Over 3.5 @2.25

£5 FB double @4.95
You will need to use the all markets tab to find these bets.

Betfair sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 Multiples (opt in)

Qualifier:
Lazio v AC Milan (20:45)
Both teams to Score? Yes @1.73
Leverkusen v Bayern Munich (German Cup Final 19:00)
To Lift The Trophy – Bayern Munich @1.13
£10 double @ 1.96

Betfred £5 FB (refund from pick your punt)

Wolves v Arsenal (17:30)
£5FB  Wolves to win and Under 2.5 goals @ 4.20

Betfred Bet £10 get £5 (inplay)

Inplay qualifier at HT NOR/BRI @ 1.15pm  see twitter

FreeBet advice – Sunday

Paddypower Acca 

Chelsea v Watford (20:00)
Chelsea @ 1.40
Juventus v Torino (16:15)
Juventus @ 1.25
Leverkusen v B Munich (German Cup Final 19:00)
B Munich and over 1.5 @ 1.36
Liverpool v Aston Villa (Sunday 16:30)
Liverpool and over 1.5 @ 1.40

£10 four fold @ 3.34

Skybet Priceboost

This one shouldn’t be any more than around 4/1.

£10 Arsenal, Chelsea and Notts Forest all to win @ 11/2 Skybet

Betfred £5 Pick Your Punt Risk Free

Bournemouth v Newcastle (18:00)
I am minded to think that Bournemouth will get something from this game having had the extra time to prepare in the knowledge that its probably their bast chance of getting a win between now and the end of the season.  Newcastle have only lost two of their last 10 however and thier doggedness might result in another stalemate here.  I will add in BTTS as Bournemouth haven’t kept a clean sheet in 14 matches.

£5 Draw plus BTTS Yes via pick your punt builder @ 3/1 

Betfair Sportsbook £5 FB

Arsenal v Norwich
Arsenal To Win to Nil @2.6

Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente
Sporting Lisbon @1.62
£5 Double @ 4.2

Norwich have now scored just one goal in seven Premier League matches.  They may struggle again against Arsenal who will probably dominate possession. Sporting have won 10 of 14 at home this season where they are typically very hard to beat, two defeats against Benfica and Porto are forgivable given those two are streets ahead of the rest. Gil Vicente have seven straight league losses at Sporting.

Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples
Qualifier:

West Ham v Chelsea
Away Team Over 1.5 @1.57
SPAL v AC Milan
AC Milan @1.53

£10 Double @2.41

West Ham have conceded 2 or more in 9 of 15 at home. Chelsea have scored two or more in 7 of their last 10 competitive matches, with the sides stopping them being Man Utd, Bayern Munich and Leicester. SPAL have the worse home record in Serie A and have lost their last 6 at home. Milan have started well after the restart winning both their League games whilst holding Juve in the Cup and conceding only 1 goal.

also today:
Sky Bet Virtuals £10 get £5 free (21:30 – 23:30)
Coral HT Winner – might be worth looking at this one today, will sort my qualifiers shortly and tweet them

Skybet Priceboost

£10 Man Utd, Leeds and Birmingham all to win @ 6/1
These three look good solid favourites and 7/2 ish would be a fair price.

Boylesports £10 Risk Free Nor/Man U (mobile only)

Terms:

£10 via mobile – Man Utd to win and over 3.5 @12/5

Utd look strong and have already beaten Norwich 3-1 and 4-0 this season.

Betfred Bet £10 (inplay) get £5

Will look to do a qualifier at HT Villa/Wolves approx 1:15pm (see twitter for example)

FreeBet Advice:
Sunday

Betfred £5 FB (outstanding from midweek)

Union Berlin v Fortuna Dusseldorf (14:30)
Union Berlin or Draw @ 8/11
Ateltico v Alaves (21:00)
Atletico to win to nil @ 8/11
BATE Borisov v Dinamo Minsk (18:30)
BATE Borisov Draw No Bet @ 1.37

Treble @ 4.07

Last game of the season in Germany and Dusseldorf have are playing to stay up whilst Union are safe. It seems as though the market has been skewed too far in favour of the side that need the points here though.
Fortuna might have only lost two of thier last 11, but they’ve been drawing most matches, and have won only two Bundesliga matches in 2020. Fortuna will be in a relegation play off even if they win and a draw should be enough for them barring a wide margin Werder Bremem win. So the odds on the home side double chance @ 8/11 look decent.
Alaves have failed to score in three of their last four, whilst Atelico have won thier last three without conceding, with the fast turnaournd favouring the bigger squads of the likes of Atleti it could be rough night for Alaves who failed to register one shot on target in thier last match. I will finish off the treble with Bate DNB – the last time they lost at home was September 2019, they are unbeaten in 12 this season.

Betfairsportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples:

£5 FB Treble @ 5.73

Aston Villa v Wolves (12:30)
Wolves @1.8
BATE Borisov v Dinamo Minsk (18:30)
BATE Borisov @1.91
Swansea v Luton (12:30)
Swansea @1.67

Wolves have 6 clean sheets in 7 PL matches and have been impressive since before the restart, whilst Villa haven’t improved for the break and Grealish hasn’t been as influential. Belarusian “Clasico” day sees Bate take on Dinamo Minsk and I cant fathom why they are such a price. Bate have won 6 of their last 8 matches, have won the last 8 head to head matches and are 10pts better than their rivals this season so far. (20 pts better last season). In the Championship Luton have lost 15 of their 19 away games, and face a Swansea side looking up after being impressive winners at Boro last time out.

Betfairsportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples:
£10 Qualifier: (opt in first!)

£10 Double @2.83

Celta Vigo v Barcelona (16:00)
Barcelona @1.57
Lazio v Fiorentina (20:45)
Lazio @ 1.8

Barcelona’s defence has been better than their attack of late which is bad news for Celta. Barca have only failed to win two in 10 now – away at Sevilla and Real and look likely to put in another good showing as they try to maintain pace with Real in the La Liga title race. Lazio suffered a collapse last time out against Atalanta, losing 3-2 after being 2-0 up. That might have severely dented their title chances but the season isn’t done yet and they’d won 16 of the previous 18 prior to that loss. There’s been a big drift on them which is alarming, but whatever the reasoning for that, the market often overreacts, and on all known evidence they are a good price.

13:50 Newcastle Money Back Specials

Paddypower

£10 Mubakker @ 3.50
Cant see a lot wrong with the favourite in this one.

Skybet

£5 win Judicial @ 8.0
This one has a been placed top 3 in 18 of 36 races and was in good form 3 weeks ago.

Also today:

Coral HT Winner upto £50 FB – strategy for this one: place qualifying bet to lose a small amount on either the home or away side and hope they are winning at HT but do not win.
The approximate odds of this happening are 10/1 ish. Be sure your returns (including stakes) are going to be below £50. Advice is to not bother with trying to cash out at HT using a calculator as Coral are notorious for not paying out Freebets and you could end up our of pocket. If you land any £50FBs just take it as a bonus.
(terms https://sports.coral.co.uk/promotions/details/halftimewinner )

I will post qualifying examples on Twitter shortly.

Skybet Priceboost

£10 Liverpool, Man Utd and Everton all to win @ 4/1

This one looks like a nice offering from Skybet, all three are solid favourites, and it should probably be no bigger than 11/4.

Betfair Exchange £5 FB Betstreak

Newcastle v Villa (18:00)
£5 Newcastle to win and under 3.5 goals (matched @ 3.25)

As good as Newcastle were against Sheff Utd, this is probably more so a bet against Aston Villa, who have been very poor since the restart. Despite the need for points Villa lacked urgency against Sheff Utd and Chelsea as well as showing very little in the final third. Newcastle have won 6 times at home whilst Villa have lost 11 of 15 on the road. Only 1 of 15 Newcastle home games has seen more than 3.5 goals.

Betfairsportsbook £5 FB

Atalanta v Lazio (20:45)
Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.38
Man Utd v Sheff Utd (18:00)
Man Utd To Win to Nil @2.0

£5 FB Double @ 4.75

10 of 13 home matches for Atalanta saw over 3.5 goals, and they are clearly in decent nick after the shutdown scoring 4 in their last match, Lazio scored 7 last time out, albeit in a friendly. Sheff Utd managed just 12 shots on goal in two games back so far, with only two on target.

Betfairsportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples (opt in)

£10 Treble @ 2.77
Wolves v Bournemouth (18:00)
Wolves @ 1.55
Real Madrid v Mallorca
Real Madrid @1.15
Atalanta v Lazio (20:45)
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.55

Two classy sides at home against struggling sides and overs on the match in Bergamo, where 12 of 13 matches have seen over 2.5.

Betfred Risk Free Pick Your Punt £5

Qualifier:
£5 Liverpool 1-0 (first half result), Liverpool win (full time result) @9/4 via Pick Your Punt

Having thrown a £5 FB at 14/1 on Palace already, I’ll side with a more conventional bet here.
Liverpool have been 1-0 up at HT in 40% of their matches at Anfield this season, so the 9/4 about 1-0 HT, Liv full-time looks very fair.

Also today:

SkyBet £10 get £5 free Virtuals – (21:30 – 23:30)
Strategy – split qualifying bets into 2 x £5 bets on favs in virtual football. Back the draw or an outsider at 3.75 or above with FB.

Coral HT Winner upto £50 FB – strategy for this one: place qualifying bet to lose a small amount on either the home or away side and hope they are winning at HT but do not win.
The approximate odds of this happening are 10/1 ish.  Be sure your returns (including stakes) are going to be below £50. Advice is to not bother with trying to cash out at HT using a calculator as Coral are notorious for not paying out Freebets and you could end up our of pocket. If you land any £50FBs just take it as a bonus.
(terms https://sports.coral.co.uk/promotions/details/halftimewinner )

I will post qualifying examples on Twitter shortly.

A few bets to add today, and if you did the Sportingbet treble yesterday I’ve added the FB advice to that post.

WillHill Super Odds

We’ve already got £10 on two of these already so without wanting too much exposure advice is to back this one for £10 and lay the Acca on Smarkets @ 4.9 for £10 (Market here )
That means you’ll win £11 if it comes in and can lose only 20p.

Betfred – Saturday Football Specials

Fortuna v Dortmund (14:30)
£7.50 Dortmund to win both halves @ 9/4

This has paid out 7 times in Dortmund’s last 17 matches. Fortuna Dusseldorf lost all four home matches they’ve played against the top 5 this season, losing both halves in two of those four. At above 2/1 this looks a value price.

Paddypower £5 Free

14:05 Sandown
Just login an claim and hit claim for this one.
£5 Well Of Wisdom @ 4.33

Skybet Money Back if 2nd/3rd

14:05 Sandown
£10 Acsension @ 3.50

Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 Multiples (opt in required)

Make sure you uncheck use available bonus before placing this if you have the FB from yesterday.
Qualifier:

Using “Same Game Multi”, FC Koln v Union Berlin
£10 FC Koln to win and Over 1.5 Goals – double @ 2.48

£5 FB Treble @4.75 (from yesterday) @4.75:

Sociedad @1.73 to bt Osasuna @ 1.73 (Sunday)
Dortmund (-1) @ 1.83 v Fortuna Dusseldorf (14:30)
Leverkusen @ 1.5 to bt Schalke (Sunday)