Paddypower MBS Race 14:20 Southwell

£7.50 Lion’s Vigil @ 4.20

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Paddypower – Turbo Power Price

£20 – 2 or more goals in each 1:30pm English FA Cup match (normal time only) @ 4.50

This one works out best priced 3.16 elsewhere so represents a decent chunk of value and warrants a £20 stake (https://nimb.ws/LgY0kM)

Of course, it is still more likely not to win than to win so reduce stakes if not comfortable with £20.

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Unibet Bet £10 get £5 x 3

NFL Qualifier:
Cleveland Browns @ 3.2 /3.65 https://nimb.ws/iGgAKO

Chelsea v Morecambe – No Qualifier (that I can find)

Stockport v West Ham – Tomorrow

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Betfred Masters Bet £10 get £5 -13:00 start

Qualifier:

Dave Gilbert @ 1.73 /1.91 https://nimb.ws/tFhHC8

I’m not sure how this will work given the errors in the terms above and the two cancelled games today, but will see If the qualifier is cheap and play it by ear.

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Betfred Risk Free Pick Your Punt FA Cup – kicks offs from 13:30

Bristol City v Portsmouth
£5 Portsmouth to win and Under 2.5 (via pick your punt builder) @ 7/2

Championship Bristol City are without a number of players and have lost 5 of their last 7 league games, with four being 1-0 or 2-0 defeats. Portsmouth have had an enforced lay off which should have given them time to prepare for this and they have kept five straight clean sheets.

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Skybet Game of Two halves – Marine v Tottenham 17:00

Qualifier
Once inplay back overs or BTTS so long as above 1.5 and lay off straight away

FreeBet
Will Tweet at HT

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Boylesports £10 FreeBet Refund

Aberdeen v Rangers 15:00
Correct Score Groups – Rangers to win 1-0,2-0 or 2-1 @ 7/5

Ajax v PSV 15:45
Ajax @ 8/13

£10 FB double @ 3.88

Rangers have won 54% of their away games by one of 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1.
Ajax have scored 20 more goals than rivals PSV in the Eredivisie.

PaddyPower MBS Race 13:20 Lingfield

£10 Jumping Cats @ 4.0

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Paddypower Turbo Power Price

£10 Everton, Millwall, Norwich all to win @ 5.0

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Betfred Bet £10 inplay get £5 – FA Cup

Qualifier

Inplay – action at HT kick off 19:45

Free Bet 

To follow Saturday

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Betfred Bet £30 get £10 – Tennis FB Club

Qualifiers – Inplay 

Take care with these as they can be tricky, bet at the start or early on in matches and try and bet during breaks which can be followed live on Bet365.
I will post my qualifiers for reference on Twitter. Potential matches this afternoon.

FB 
To follow

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Betfred Centruy Break Snooker Offer

Qualifier

Betfred Masters 2021 Outrights (starts Sunday)

Back Judd Trump @ 3.5 laying @ 3.85 : https://nimb.ws/7c1aXm

FreeBets

To follow when credited

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Unibet Bet £10 get £5 inplay – Aston Villa v Liverpool

Not sure about the qualifier on this one as Unibet dont seem to have the BTTS option on the bet builder for the game.
Will update if it’s possible later.

Skybet Bet x get £5 – opt in required

Qualifier

£5 Liverpool to win and over 2.5 goals @ 1.73

FreeBet

tba

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Unibet Bet £10 get £5 x 2 

Qualifiers

Tottenham v Fulham 18:00 (may be postponed)
Tottenham + BTTS Yes @ 3.50 / 4.2 https://nimb.ws/kZueGS

Newcastle v Liverpool 20:00
Liverpool and Under 2.5 goals @ 4.2 / 5.1 https://nimb.ws/gIMHl7

 

Freebets, to be used inplay
Tottenham to win 2-0 @ 6.50

Liverpool to win by 2 goals exactly @ 4.10

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Paddypower £10 Refund (MBS Race)

I will take the money from this by underlaying a racing bet.
Example: https://nimb.ws/08pGTW

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Paddypower 20 Turbos of Xmas –
£10 Liverpool and Swansea both to win @ 4.0

Paddypower MBS 13:15 Leopardstown

£5 The Stroryteller @ 7.5 (used powerup)

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Skybet MBS 13:30 Catterick

£6 The Russian Doyen @ 6.0

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Skybet Priceboost

£10 Vardy 1+ Shot on Target @ Evens

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Betfred £5 FB (to be credited by 5pm)

Got a bet riding on Villa already but with the City match off there are no other games remaining today.
Villa have four clean sheets in five and have already beaten Arsenal, Leiceter and Wolves away from home without conceded, so the 9.0 on the away win to Nil is tempting enough.

Villa win and BTTS No @ 9/1

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Unibet Bet £10 get £5 inplay x 3

Qualifiers:

Leicester to win and BTTS Yes @ 4.1 /4.8 https://nimb.ws/LBK4iM

Chelsea and BTTS Yes @ 3.1 / 3.55 https://nimb.ws/kY6Sa4

Everton v City – Off

FreeBets

C Palace v Leicester
H Barnes to score @ 3.9
Barnes has 4 in his last 8 for Leicester

Chelsea v Villa
El Ghazi, Anwar First Goalscorer @ 10.5 (check he’s starting)
Having been promoted to penalty duties ElGhazi looks too big @ 10.5

Everton v City – Off

 

Betfair sportsbook £10 FB

£10 double @ 4.6
Burnley Double chance @ 2.0, West Ham @ 2.3

Leeds and Brighton are teams that are constantly shorter than they should be, and the value looks to be in opposing them with Burnley who have lost only once in seven (v Man City) and West Ham who have won three of their last 6 at home in a run that included both Manchester clubs.

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Boylesports £10 Refund

Chelsea v Aston Villa (Monday)
£10 FB Aston Villa @ 4.75

Everything I am seeing from Villa suggests they are too big in this match at the odds. The stats models currently have Villa rated as 7th best side in the Prem.
If they get a goal in front here we will have the option of taking some profit also.

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Skybet MBS Race 13:45 Leopardstown 2nd/3rd

£10 Ballydam @ 9/4

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Paddypower – Paying 2nd as winner 14:20 Leopardstown

£5 Sea Ducor @ 6.5

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Paddypower – Featured Power Price

£12.50 Patrick Bamford to have 1 or more shots on target (vs Burnley) @ 2.0

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Paddypower – 20 Turbos of Xmas

£5 Liverpool, Tottenham and West Ham all to win @ 8.0

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Betfred Bet £10 inplay Wol/Tot 19:15 get £5

Inplay qualifier required at HT (will tweet)

FB

Monday

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Skybet Bet £5 get £5 inplay Liverpool/WBA 16:30

Inplay qualifier required

Wil back BTTS or Overs (if 1.5+) at kick off and lay on Smarkets.

FreeBet
Will tweet at HT

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Unibet £10 get £5 free x4

Qualifiers

Leeds v Burnley 12:00
Leeds + BTTS No @ 3.9 /4.3 https://nimb.ws/xVB2wI

West Ham v Brighton 14:15
West Ham + BTTS Yes @ 4.6 /5.3 https://nimb.ws/N2hgA0

Liverpool v West Brom 16:30
Liverpool and Under 2.5 @ 4.25 / 5.3 https://nimb.ws/WeDy3v

Wolves v Spurs 19:15
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 4.6 /5.3 https://nimb.ws/kS0tqh

FreeBets
Leeds v Burnley 12:00
Draw/Draw @ 6.50

West Ham v Brighton 14:15
West Ham by 1 @ 4.10 (exact winning margin, OR use handicap market -1 draw)

Liverpool v West Brom 16:30
4-0 Liverpool @ 8.50 once underway

Wolves v Spurs 19:15
Will use this one at HT as gotta do an inplay qualifier for he Fred off then anyway.(see twitter feed at HT)

 

Betfred Bet £10 inplay – get £5 Leicester v Man Utd ko 12:30

Qualifier

Inplay at HT (wil tweet example)

Freebet (credited by 4pm- must be used today)

Will use this on this evenings games:

Man City to win & BTTS No @ 1.91, Norwich Draw no bet @ 1.91, Sheff Utd v Everton under 2.5 @ 1.8
£5 FB Treble @ 6.19

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Unibet Bet £10 get £5 (inplay) x 6

Qualifiers

Leicester/Man Utd 12:30

Draw+BTTS Yes via bet builder: https://nimb.ws/JT0xoR

Aston Villa v Crystal Palace 15:00

Villa + BTTS Yes via bet builder: https://nimb.ws/uhJzSa

Fulham v Southampton 15:00
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 4.3 / 5.0 https://nimb.ws/n4mhwe

Arsenal v Chelsea 17:30
Chelsea + BTTS No @ 3.6 / 4.0 https://nimb.ws/w8n2Ob

Sheff Utd v Everton 20:00
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 4.6 / 5.3 https://nimb.ws/ZqmjNa

Man City v Newcastle 20:00
No Qualifier

Free Bets

Leicester/Man Utd 12:30
Vardy First Goal scorer @ 4.9 once inplay

Villa/Palace 15:00 –
El Ghazi First Goalscorer @ 6.75

Fulham v Southampton 15:00
1-1 correct score once inplay

Arsenal v Chelsea 17:30
We’re on the low scoring draw with B365, so in case of Chelsea being too good:  – 3-0 Chelsea @16.0  once inplay

Sheff Utd v Everton 20:00
Everton to win 1-0 @ 7.0 once inplay

 

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Boylesports £10 Risk Free – Leicester v Man Utd 12:30

Match Results and Total goals

£10 Leicester and under 3.5 @10/3

I’m not so sure that this will be the goal-fest that’s being predicted. Leicester’s last five have all featured under 3.5, they were similarly priced underdogs against Spurs and ran out 2-0 winners.

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Skybet Price Boost

£10 Fernandes 1+ Shot on Target @ Evens

This would have paid out in 8 of his last 10 starts for Man Utd

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Skybet MBS 2nd/3rd 13:15 Kempton

£5 Getareason @ 9.50

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Skybet Super Boost

£5 Southampton, Blackburn and Aston Villa all to win @ 12/1

I don’t have many misgivings about any of these and the odds are very good.

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Bet365 Upto £50 Free Inplay Arsenal v Chelsea 17:30

Qualifier

Bak / Lay Over 2.5 @ 1.9 /2.02 https://nimb.ws/Hs3L75

FreeBet
Draw and under 3 goals @ 4.75 once kicked off. (alternatively, if that’s not available will just back draw @ 3.6)

I often like to back the draw with this one and today’s match looks a decent opportunity for that to come in.
Chelsea scored three goals away against Burnley, Brighton and West Brom but then have scored a total of three away goals across matches at Wolves, Newcastle, Everton and Man Utd. All of Arsenal’s home matches have gone under 3.5 goals this season and with Arsenal having shored up at the back what we have today is the 3rd best defence against the 6th best so this could be close cagey encounter.

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Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £10 Premier League

Qualifier

Man Utd and Yes via Same Game Multi tab @ 3.7 laying @ 4.4 Smarkets: https://nimb.ws/xupfI8

Free Bet

Sunday

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Betfair Exchange £5 FB 15:00 Kempton

£5FB Cyrname @ 3.70

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Paddypower £5 FB 

£5 FB Treble @ 8.4
Swansea @2.4 (away @ QPR, Championship), Charlton @1.91 (v Plymouth L1), Bristol City (v Wycombe, Championship) @ 1.83

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Ladbrokes £1 FB

Leicester, Villa, Arsenal/Chelsea Draw Treble @ 17.36/1

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Paddypower Power Price

£10 Tottenham & Man Utd both to win @ 4.50

Man Utd are probably a tad short at 2.29 but this means we are effectively getting them @ 3.0, which looks value.

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Unibet £5 FB 

Stoke City – Tottenham 17:30

First goalscorer G Bale @ 5.40

Bale needs the minutes and is a likely starter in this one with Kane and Son perhaps rested with a period of 3 PL in a week coming up. He is also a likely penalty taker.
Check starting line ups 16:30 ish, this FB is valid until the 29th.

Next update 26th December (Check late 25th December as I might post up early for a busy boxing day)

BoyleSports £10 No Lose Mobile Bet – C Palace v Liverpool 12:30

£10 Draw @ 3/1

Liverpool have drawn four of their six away so far.

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Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 on Same Game multi, get £10

Qualifier

C.Palace v Liverpool 12:30

Liverpool and BTTS Yes @ 2.93 via the same game multi, laying @ 3.6 Smarkets https://nimb.ws/2ucli0

FreeBet

tba

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Skybet MBS 2/3/4 13:50 Ascot

 

£5 Mengli Khan @ 9.50

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Unibet Bet £10 Bet Builder, get £5 inplay Everton v Arsenal 17:30

Qualifier

Draw + BTTS Yes via Bet Builder @4.25 laying @ 5.0 Smarkets: https://nimb.ws/jmcBLQ

FreeBet

Once inplay – I will take Everton to win to nil (or win + BTTS No), my 2nd choice would be Everton to win by 1 goal.

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Betfred Bet £10 get £5 x 2

Qualifier 1 Inplay Everton v Arsenal 17:30
Will action this at HT ~18:20 and tweet example

Qualifier 2 Strictly Come Dancing :

We can bet Bill Bailey @ 1.8 or HRVY @ 2.75 and lay them off on Betfair here: https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/special-bets/market/1.172689860

At the time of writing HRVY is actually an Arb meaning we coule make profit out of the qualifier. That might not do the account any good so I did mine on Bill @ 1.8/1.99: https://nimb.ws/VRsqHl

FreeBets Advice
Sunday

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Late bet:
Paddypower – Saturday’s Turbo Power Price
This would have paid out in 11 of 18 starts this season for him and he’s an average of over 1 shot on target per game over his career.
£10 Sadio Mane 1 or more shots on target (v Crystal Palace) @2.0

Skybet Soccer Saturday Super Boost

£10 Man City, Bournemouth and Brentford all win @ 6/1

Man City might look a tad short but even with that taking into account, this price is still big.

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Betfred £10 FB – From darts Fb club

Man Utd v Leeds
First Team to score Leeds @ 2.50

WBA v Aston Villa
Villa @ 1.95

£10FB double @ 3.87/1

Utd have been slow starters this season and Leeds have scored the opening goal in 4 of their 6 away games.
Villa had 27 goal attempts against Burnley and travel the short distance to face the worst defence in the PL with West Brom having conceded 26.

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Paddypower Acca (Insurance)

West Brom v Aston Villa – Corner Match Bet
Villa @ 1.5
Villa have won the corner count in 8 of 11 matches so far.

Everton v Arsenal
Everton @ 2.4
Bookies have this priced as if Everton are ranked below Arsenal which to me seems wrong.

Burnley v Wolves
Under 2.5 @ 1.5
Each of the last 6 head to heads have gone under 2.5 and Wolves pose significantly less of a goal threat w/o Jimenez

Southampton v Man Utd
Player to have 1 or more shots on target – James Ward-Prowse @ 2.50
Ward-Prowse had at least 1 shot on target on 19 occasions last season

£5 Acca @ 13.50

Paddypower Turbo Power Price

You will need to be in the Paddy’s Reward Club to take advantage of this one. (Which you should be!)

£15 Man City, Chelsea and Bournemouth all to win @ 3.25

I am a little cautious of opposing Wolves based on how well they defended against Villa but the markets overall seem to really rate Chelsea.

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Skybet Price Boost

I like City and Bournemouth in this but not so much Watford, who play a Brentford side unbeaten in eleven.
Brentford have drawn 6 times in that run so that’s the outcome I’ll cover with this boost.

£5 Man City, Bournemouth and Watford to draw with Brentford @ 6.0

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Unibet Bet £10 get £5

Qualifier

Chelsea + Yes @ 3.9 laying @ 4.7 (currently but could go shorter) https://nimb.ws/o18uBw

FreeBet
I am minded to go fo low goals here and a bet on 0-0 given that Chelsea have drawn blanks in two of their last three PL games and Wolves are lacking a goal threat.

0-0 at kick off @ 10.0.

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Betfred Bet £10 (inplay) get £5

Qualifier

Matches at 18:00 and 20:00 this evening so take your pick but I will post an example at HT (about 18:50) via twitter.

FreeBet
Wednesday

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Also today:
SkyBet Virtuals £10 get £5 free (21:30 – 23:30)