This one could be open with France looking to impress after a lacklustre start against Australia and Peru needing to come forward.
£7.50 France to win and both teams to score @ 9/2 Coral (Priceboost)
WillHill FlashOdds
I’m not sure lightning will strike twice for Ronaldo but the 5/1 is just about big enough to get involved with this.
£7.50 Ronaldo to score 2 or more @ 5/1 WillHill FlashOdds
Coral Priceboost
£10 James to score anytime @ 7/2 Coral (Priceboost)
This represents value and I’ve had £10 on.
Monday – Tunisia v England Offers
Bet365- Upto £25 Free In-Play Bet
First up qualify for this offer by backing England @ 1.44 and laying on Smarkets as shown below:
FB Inplay advice:
You have the option of taking a guranteed profit from this offer of about £17 by using the underlay techinique as shown here on the Draw price:
https://www.screencast.com/t/GnolhvojKova
However I prefer a little more risk.
I will back the Draw at kick off at around 4.33 with the Freebet.
I’ll check the odds on Smarkets at HT and look to take some profit if and when they get to about 2.5 by laying the Draw on Smarkets for £20.
Coral £5 Freebet per England Goal
Another £10 on England with Coral with a lay on Smarkets:
Any Freebets received I will advise on tomorrow.
Coral have also boosted England to win 2-0 to 11/2 – this is a fair price, England beat Tunisia 2-0 in France 1998 and it would again reflect the relative strengths of the sides.
£4 England 2-0 @ 11/2 Coral (Price boosts)
Ladbrokes Money back as Freebet (certain markets only)
(under Getaprice Evens-5/2)
£10 on England win, England under 3.5 goals, over 0.5 Tunisia cards, under 2.5 England cards, under 10.5 corners @ 9/4
This one looks a fair price.
Note: I didn’t get the last £10 refund for the correct score on the Spain game, and they didn’t refund one of the three £5 Freebets from matches on Saturday, I’ll record these as losses as I don’t wan to risk my account, however chances are they would credit freebets if you didn’t get them and consequently chase them.
Skybet:
Simple qualifier on this one again.
I’ve done Under 2.5 goals and layed off on Smarkets as shown:
FB advice to follow
Betfair Exchange/Sportsbook
Back England on Betfair Exchange for £10 @ 1.48 lay England for £9.84 1.5 on Smarkets to qualify for free £5 Sportsbook multiple.
FB Multiple advice to follow tomorrow.
Betfred:
Similar offer again from Betfred, the catch being its main match book only and 1/2+ so we cannot back and lay England as they are 4/9…
Instead we back the Draw @ 10/3 for £10 and lay on Smarkets for £9.45 @ 4.6:
The Freebet might not be credited until 15mins into the match so difficult to put something up here as it might be gone.
I would say 1-0 is worth having onside, also opposing Harry Kane in the Man Of The Match market could be worthwhile, with Sterling @ 9/2, Lingard at 8/1 or Delph at a huge 33/1 being my picks – of course gotta see the starting 11 before betting on this one and I’m not sure it will be available in play anyhow.
At the odds (15/2) the 0-0 does look the best value however, Tunisia were undefeated in 9 matches before losing to a strong Spain lineup in their last friendly 1-0, where they kept Spain out for 83 mins. With England being told to be patient by their boss, and being the first match, this could be a cagey encounter.
Follow my twitter inplay for my exact bet, but likely it will be 0-0 correct score.
Betfair Freebet advice
£10 freebet refund (from same game multi offer):
£10 (be sure to select bonus funds) on Argentina v Iceland Draw @ 9/2 (14:00 kick off)
I just feel this price is a little bit of value now, besides Argentina having the best player in the world they haven’t shown enough yet to justify the short price.
We can temper this with a few quid on Messi to score 2 or more @ 5/1 (special price Betfarisportsbook), should he take the game by the scruff of the neck.
£4 Messi to score 2 or more @ 5/1 Betfairsportsbook (via banner offer)
£5 bonus funds treble (from bet £10 get £5 offer):
Peru v Denmark Both Teams to Score Yes @ 5/4
Croatia to bt Nigeria @ 4/5
Serbia to bt Costa Rica @ 19/20
£5 bonus funds treble @ 7.89 Betfairsportsbook
Peru are an attacking side but kept only two clean sheets in qualifying and Denmark were impressive hitting five against Ireland and four against Poland to qualify. Croatia are much better than Nigeria as a unit and if they play near their best should win at generous odds and similar comments apply to Serbia who tonked Boliva 5-1 in their final warm up.
WillHill Flash Odds
I’be managed to get £10 on this. £10 Russia to beat Saudi Arabia @ Evens with WillHill (FlashOdds)
(No lay, I’m just letting it run.)
Golden Glove and Mexico Value – Enhanced prices
£7.50 David De Gea to win the Golden Glove @ 5/1 10Bet (Under “WC 18 Boosts”)
The Man Utd keeper is pretty much the reason his team finished as high as they did in the Premier League, as he basically saved more shots from going in that was statistically probable. He is widely regarded as the best keeper in the world and is as short as 7/2 with Ladbrokes for this. Spain conceded just 3 goals in 10 during qualifying. Its decided by the “FIFA Technical Study Group” and there’s a fair chance that there’s an amount of unconscious bias built in to their decision in any case, looking at the list of previous winners who are all obvious selections.
£15 Mexico to be eliminated in the Round of 16 Stage (was 9/4) @ 11/4 Skybet
(Under Price boost countdown – Previous Boosts see https://www.screencast.com/t/R92fQ00eeif )
This looks a really nice price and is as short as 2.65 with other firms.
Mexico, remarkably, have been eliminated at the last 16 stage in each of the last SIX World Cups. They are desperate to escape this hoodoo, but as much as I’m rooting for them from a neutral football fan perspective, it looks perhaps more likely, not less likely, to happen again.
They have two sides who are worse than them in the Group F in Sweden and South Korea and Germany, who should beat them. That means a very difficult last 16 tie with Brazil is quite probable, in which they will be big outsiders to progress.
WillHill FlashOdds
The true price of this should probably be about 2/1 Max. So well worth taking £10.
£10 WillHill FlashOdds SAxon Warrior and England both to win @ 3/1
Saturday Enhanced Odds
England to score in both halves £10 @ 3/1 Corals (Place just after 11am, time limited offer)
England have only scored 4 goals in their last 6 matches but that run includes games against Brazil, Germany, Italy and Holland. And going back further they have scored in both halves in four of their last ten home friendlies, including in two of the three warm up games prior to Euro 2016, so they do tend to be decent in these matches, and the 3/1 represents a value price for me.
With Nigeria having scored in 7 of their last 8 friendlies, England and BTTS would be worth a look if you wanted any other interest in the game.
Real Madrid v Liverpool Odds Boosts
BetfairSportsBook and Corals both have offers revolving around Salah and Ronaldo to score.
The goals expectation is high in this match with both sides favouring attack over defence.
The 5/1 on them both scoring is available with Skybet or Betfair.
The 3/1 either to score the first goal is availble with Coral from 11 am for a limited time only.
I’ll split £15 over both of them.
£7.50 Ronaldo & Salah both to score @ 5/1 (Betfair/Skybet)
£7.50 Ronaldo or Salah to score the first goal @ 3/1 Coral (from 11am for limited time)
I’ve had £20 on the above offer of Evens about Real to lift the trophy, if you dont want to risk £20 you can create a risk free position as shown here:
https://www.screencast.com/t/6gMNJpvfvNT
As I’m putting the £25 Freebet with Bet365 on Liverpool to win in 90 mins this spreads risk.