Bit to sort through today with something like £45 worth of Freebets outstanding.
We don’t want to have to too many riding on the same outcomes and we want to try and be betting these on reasonable value bets as well.

Betfair Exchange 
Sheff Utd v Wolves (18:00)
£10 (bonus funds) Draw @ 3.10

Two organised sides meet here and with only three goals in the two head to heads last season I wouldn’t expect many goals. Wolves drew 7 times away from home last season, and when you look at the results against those outside the top 5 and bottom 5, they drew a whopping 10 games from 18.

Betfair Sportsbook
Brighton v Chelsea (20:15)
£10 bonus funds Chelsea to win and BTTS @ 3.25

7 of Chelsea’s 8 away wins last season saw both teams score.

Betfred £5 FB (refund)
Sheff Utd v Wolves (18:00)
We’ve got the draw covered above, but there could also be value covering a correct score with a repeat of the July scoreline 1-0 Sheff Utd @ 7.50 – Sheff Uts won 26% of their home games 1-0 last season.
Henderson is a big loss in goal but the rest of the defense will have a familiar look to it.
£5 FB 1-0 Sheff Utd @ 7.50

Betfair Exchange Bet £20 get £5 – Opt in first! (Betstreak)
Not yet used the all Freebets from Saturday but another offer to take advantage of today.

For the qualifier you can back Chelsea @ 1.64 for £20 on Betfair Exchange and lay them off at 1.65 Smarkets for minimal loss: https://nimb.ws/n3kiRJ

Skybet Super Boost

This one looks worth a nibble today

£5 Timo Werner 3+ shots on target @ 5/1 Skybet Priceboost

Betfred £5 FB (credited by 5pm)

RB Leipzig v Atletico Madrid (20:00)

Correct Score, £5 FB Atletico 1-0 @ 6/1

Not got much beyond the obvious on this one, but that is often the best policy. Atleti beat Liverpool 1-0 and lost 1-0 (away, before going through in ET) in the last round.
They’ve won 4 of their last 16 in La Liga by 1-0 and it could be another archetypal Atletico performance again this evening.

Paddy Power – Power Price

£5 Atletico Madrid to win 1-0 or 2-0 @ 5.0

This should be shorter than 7/2, so 4/1 is a value price.

Paddypower Power Price:

£10 Lionel Messi and Robery Lewandowski both to score in 90mins @ 3.0

Betfairsportsbook £20 freebets:

Kilmarnock v Celtic – Sunday 16:30
£20 Total Goals In Match – Exactly 4 goals @ 4.50

27% of Celtic’s matches last season had 4 goals. And each of the last 3 head to heads have ended 3-1 Celtic.

If you wanted to cash out some or all of the £20 for guaranteed profit here’s an example: https://nimb.ws/A6MSgO

Betfred £5 FB

Am struggling to find much, but will go with Barcelona 1 Napoli 1 correct score @ 7/1, the Camp Nou minus the crowd might not as hard a place to go and Napoli could repeat the 1st leg result.

Skybet MBS 13:50 Ascot

£10 Theotherside @ 4.50

Paddypower MBS 14:05 Haydock

£10 Festive Star @ 6.0

13.50 Goodwood Skybet MBS 2/3/4/5

This race being a sprint handicap is your typical “lottery” type race, not one to ponder on too much.
With money back on the FOUR placings if we don’t find the winner its definitely worth having a bet however.
Might as well concentrate on those that

£10 Batchelor Boy @ 11.0

Paddypower £5 FB 14:25 Goodwood (hit claim)

£5FB Platitude @ 11.0

Not a lot to recommend most of the principles in this so chancing an outsider might pay. This one has won over this course and distance and is off a low handicap mark.

Betfred 
Football>More>Specials>Saturday football specials:
£10 Aubameyang to score anytime @ 7/4 

As short as 2.2 elsewhere, take the price.

Bet365 upto £50 free inplay (will get £25 so basing advice on that)

qualifier on Arsenal (with the added benefit of the 2 up offer)

https://nimb.ws/OwDXkH

I’m pretty neutral on the FA Cup final betting not really having a strong opinion. I do think Chelsea are worthy favourites but look a tad short in the betting so I’ll look to take advantage of the prices on Arsenal whilst reserving some angles to try and make a profit if Chelsea do prove to be superior on the day such as with the other FBs we have inplay.

Freebet: I’m going to go with my usual tactic of backing the DRAW with the Freebet as soon as match is underway, this looks a good option with Chelsea being too short for any real confidence and leaves us with good trading options to take a profit if its close.

Boylesports £10 risk free (mobile only)

£10 Arsenal @ 3.6
Boylesports are a standout price and 3.6 feels big for Arsenal.

Skybet bet £5 inplay (1st half) get £5 inplay (2nd half) (OPT IN)

This one required an inplay qualifier, advice is to back BTTS once underway and then lay it off as fast as possible in Smarkets, if a goal is scored in between odds will move only in your favour.

Freebet advice at HT via twitter

Unibet Bet £10 get £5

Qualifier:

Place a £10 bet via the bet builder on DRAW + BTTS Yes @ 4.35 and lay off that outcome on Smarkets at 5.1: https://nimb.ws/CwZcNH

Free Bet:
I will look to use this at HT, and tweet my bet.
valid for inplay Ars/Che only

Betfred £5 Risk Free Pick Your Punt

via pick your punt:

£5 Total goals exactly 2 @ 13/5

Whilst the trend is for goals between these two, the average total goals in FA Cup finals is low @ 2.2.

Paddypower MBS all markets – If Chelsea win

£10 Christain Pulisic – Whoscored Man of the Match @ 8.5

I like the look of this bet – Pulisic has been on an upward curve this summer, he’s playing for Chelsea who are favourites here and he picked up this prize (whoscored rating) when Chelsea won against Man City recently.

Betfred Price Boost Snooker World Champs (31/7 – 15/8)

There will be plenty of people taking maximum stakes on this and laying off on the exchanges – I advise against that, keep stakes small and just take a little bit of value.

£15 Judd Trump to win the 2020 Betfred World Snooker Champs @ 7/2

Paddypower MB if 2/3/4

13:45 Goodwood 
£10 Al Salt @ 5.5

Skybet MB if 2/3

13:45 Goodwood 
£10 Zabeel Champion @ 5.5

Betfair Exchange £20 FB Betstreak

We kept the full £20 alive yesterday with two decent price winners, hopefully you checked you were matched before kick off!

Fulham v Cardiff kick off 19:45
£10 FB Fulham to win to nil @ 3.55 (requested but matched quickly)

Fulham have won 5 of thier last 10 home games “to nil”, they shut out Cardiff in the 1st leg with a 2-0 win, and they also beat Cardiff 2-0 here in the league earlier in the month. They don’t need to score to get to the play off final, but they won 10 of their 23 home games without conceding and with Cardiff needing to come forward at some stage, they could leave themselves open.

15:15 Goodwood
£10 FB Nazeef @ 4.4
Six straight wins and might still be flying under the radar unexposed at this distance, looks as good a bet as any today.

Betfair Exchange £5 FB
2.45 Goodwood Al Aasy £5 @ 5.50

I’ve placed these in the order above but I believe they are all “betstreak” FB’s so will yeild more FB’s if they win.

Betfred Freebet –
If you did the inpay offer last night and have a FB with Betfred, I suggest any off the above selections, I won’t include this on in my results as I didn’t do do a qualifier yesterday.

Betfair Sportsbook £5FB Multiples:

West Ham v Watford
West Ham@2.5

Huddersfield v West Brom
West Brom@1.67

£5FB Double @ 4.17

Watford have lost 11 of 17 away from home, West Ham will be looking at their remaining fixtures and perhaps not expecting anything from Old Trafford so will be banking on 3pts here. The price @ 2.5 looks nice, a draw would push both closer to safety but I think West Ham have enough about them. Coupling that with a West Brom side who are on the brink of promotion and should be able to beat a Huddersfield side than are creating virtually nothing going forward of late.

Betfred Bet £10 (inplay) get £5

West Ham Watford kicks off at 8pm so qualifier at HT about 8:45 (via twitter for those that want example)

Freebet advice:
Saturday

Paddypower 

Racing Post NAP “This Will Not Be Beaten” -Power Price
Under Football> Specials

£5 Millwall to bt QPR, Southampton to bt Bournemouth & Sheff Utd to bt Everton @ 15.0

Pokerstarts RAB Fridays (opt in through promos, then click start)

English Championship Huddersfield Town – West Brom (17:30 kick off today)
£5 West Brom to score over 0.5 goals in each half @ 3.0

English FA Cup
Arsenal – Manchester City Sat 19:45
£5 Manchester City to score over 0.5 goals in each half @ 1.83

Coral HT Winner – suggest cash out £50 FB from yesterday.
Here’s an example https://nimb.ws/CLdfE2 it does require a lot of liquidity however.
As an alternate use of the FB I suggest a three short priced selections (1.50 – 2.0)  and using the whole FB on 3 x £16.50 doubles, this will mean something back from 2 correct and nice winner from 3 correct, whist avoiding the risk of a big win on the bookmaker account or looking like a matched bettor by taking a big price with the Fb to cash out. This is higher risk but I will post my doubles later on twitter.

SkyBet Virtuals £10 get £5 free (21:30 – 23:30)

Paddypower Power Prices

RP Postcast NAP
£5 West Ham, Nttm Forest, & Oxford all to win @ 15.0

Skybet Priceboost

£7 Liverpool & West Brom to win & Chelsea to draw with Sheffield Utd (was 8/1) @ 11/1
£3 Liverpool, West Brom & Sheffield Utd all to win (was 12/1) @ 18/1

Chelsea are creating lots of chances but are not the most solid at the back and on the road they have actually only won 2 of their last 7. Even in winning at Villa and Palace both of those matches could have ended in draws so I think Sheff Utd could be good enough to at least avoid defeat. I will cover the home win but want most profit on the draw, assuming the other two results (where we dont have the options) come in.

Paddypower £10 Racing Refund FB

21:57 Keeneland (US) Jolie Olimpica £10 FB @ 4.0 

Paddypower MBS 14:25 Newmarket

£10 Odeyssey Girl @ 7.0

Skybet MBS Race 13:50 Newmarket

£10 Finest Sound @ 3.0

Betfred £5 Risk Free UFC

Usman v Masvidal

Pick Your Punt – Bet Requests
Usman To Win By Ko/Tko Via Punches £5 @ 9/4

This one doesn’t look likely to go the full distance and Usman’s last two inside the distance were by punches TKO/KO.

Betfred Bet £10 get £5 (inplay)

Qualifier:
I will post an example via twitter at HT in the early kick off (so about 1:15pm)

FB advice Sunday

Betfair Sportsbook FB

Watford v Newcastle (12:30)
Same Game Multi
Draw and BTTS
£5 Double @ 4.65

Newcastle have been more attacking since securing their safety and Watford whilst being leaky will need to come forward and should also score, the home side in particular might see a point as something to hold onto this weekend so that looks a decent option here.

Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples (opt in first)

Qualifier

Brighton v Man City (20:00)
Handicap Match Result
Brighton ( + 2 ) @2.0
Atletico Madrid v Betis (21:00)
Atletico Madrid @1.4

£10 Double @2.80

Its easy to be in awe of City with their home wins over Newcastle, Liverpool, Burnley and Arsenal since the restart being very impressive. On the road however they have lost 3 of their last 4 and haven’t over come a 2 goal handicap away from home since Aston Villa away in January. City could be excused for lacking focus here with their PL position assured and the Champions League on the horizon and although City could absolutely turn it on, the value looks to be with the home side having a 2 goal start. In Spain Atlei have won 7 of their last 9 at home and 6 of the last 7 H2H with Betis. With a Champion League spot to secure their focus should be there and a home win looks a solid bet.

Also today:
Coral HT Winner – I will tweet qualifiers for those following this one.

Skybet Priceboost Treble

Skybet are being generous with this one, having gotten off the hook with West Ham coming from behind to beat Chelsea midweek.
£10 Man Utd, Leicester and Leeds all to win @ 7/2

Skybet  – Money Back as Cash If your horse finishes 2nd in 14.25 Epsom

£10 Safe Voyage @ 2.10

Skybet  – Money Back as Cash If your horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th in 16.55 Epsom

£10 English King @ 5.00

Keeping these simple today, cant have Kameko in the Derby over the mile and a half and that price could mean English King is a value favourite.

Paddypower £5 FreeBets: Claim via banners.

Paddypower 14:25 Epsom £5 FB Oh This Is Us @ 7.50

Chelsea v Watford £5 FB (20:00 ko)

#WhatOddsPaddy up to 9/1-
Chelsea to win 2-0 or 3-0 @ 4.20

Boylesports £10 FB (refund from Thursday’s offer)

Juventus v Torino (16:15)
Juventus to win to Nil @ 1.95
Wolves v Arsenal (17:30)
Wolves @ 2.30

£10 FB double @ 3.49

Betfair Sportsbook £5 FB

Wolves v Arsenal (17:30)
Half With Most Goals – Second Half @2.2
Leverkusen v Bayern Munich (German Cup Final 19:00)
Bayern Munich And Over 3.5 @2.25

£5 FB double @4.95
You will need to use the all markets tab to find these bets.

Betfair sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 Multiples (opt in)

Qualifier:
Lazio v AC Milan (20:45)
Both teams to Score? Yes @1.73
Leverkusen v Bayern Munich (German Cup Final 19:00)
To Lift The Trophy – Bayern Munich @1.13
£10 double @ 1.96

Betfred £5 FB (refund from pick your punt)

Wolves v Arsenal (17:30)
£5FB  Wolves to win and Under 2.5 goals @ 4.20

Betfred Bet £10 get £5 (inplay)

Inplay qualifier at HT NOR/BRI @ 1.15pm  see twitter

FreeBet advice – Sunday

Paddypower Acca 

Chelsea v Watford (20:00)
Chelsea @ 1.40
Juventus v Torino (16:15)
Juventus @ 1.25
Leverkusen v B Munich (German Cup Final 19:00)
B Munich and over 1.5 @ 1.36
Liverpool v Aston Villa (Sunday 16:30)
Liverpool and over 1.5 @ 1.40

£10 four fold @ 3.34

Skybet Priceboost

This one shouldn’t be any more than around 4/1.

£10 Arsenal, Chelsea and Notts Forest all to win @ 11/2 Skybet

Betfred £5 Pick Your Punt Risk Free

Bournemouth v Newcastle (18:00)
I am minded to think that Bournemouth will get something from this game having had the extra time to prepare in the knowledge that its probably their bast chance of getting a win between now and the end of the season.  Newcastle have only lost two of their last 10 however and thier doggedness might result in another stalemate here.  I will add in BTTS as Bournemouth haven’t kept a clean sheet in 14 matches.

£5 Draw plus BTTS Yes via pick your punt builder @ 3/1 

Betfair Sportsbook £5 FB

Arsenal v Norwich
Arsenal To Win to Nil @2.6

Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente
Sporting Lisbon @1.62
£5 Double @ 4.2

Norwich have now scored just one goal in seven Premier League matches.  They may struggle again against Arsenal who will probably dominate possession. Sporting have won 10 of 14 at home this season where they are typically very hard to beat, two defeats against Benfica and Porto are forgivable given those two are streets ahead of the rest. Gil Vicente have seven straight league losses at Sporting.

Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples
Qualifier:

West Ham v Chelsea
Away Team Over 1.5 @1.57
SPAL v AC Milan
AC Milan @1.53

£10 Double @2.41

West Ham have conceded 2 or more in 9 of 15 at home. Chelsea have scored two or more in 7 of their last 10 competitive matches, with the sides stopping them being Man Utd, Bayern Munich and Leicester. SPAL have the worse home record in Serie A and have lost their last 6 at home. Milan have started well after the restart winning both their League games whilst holding Juve in the Cup and conceding only 1 goal.

also today:
Sky Bet Virtuals £10 get £5 free (21:30 – 23:30)
Coral HT Winner – might be worth looking at this one today, will sort my qualifiers shortly and tweet them