Sunday 24th Janaury

Posted on January 24, 2021January 24, 2021 by Paul Ruffy

Betfair Sportsbook £10 FB

Elche v Barcelona – La Liga (15:15)
Barcelona to win to nil @2.2
Everton v Sheff Wed – FA Cup(20:00)
Everton to win to nil @ 2.10

£10 FB double @ 4.62

Boylesports £10 Risk Free Man Utd v Liverpool 17:00 (Mobile Only)

£10 Edinson Cavani first goalscorer @ 6/1 -place via mobile
(you might want to wait until teams are announced before placing this one)

Cavani has started to click for Utd with 4 goals in 4 starts. The veteran striker has comfortably to best career min per goal figure on the field at 126 and with Liverpool struggling to find the net of late he could be the value.

Unibet Bet £10 get £5 x 2

Chelsea v Luton 12:00
Qualifier
Chelsea and BTTS @ 3.15 laying at 4.0 is a bit expensive – will try and get a closer match. 3.15/3.75: http://nimb.ws/hgQ0Ia

FreeBet (inplay)
2-0 Chelsea @ 6.10

Man Utd v Liverpool
Qualifier
Man Utd and BTTS Yes via bet builder @ 3.9, laying at 4.6 (might have to wait) http://nimb.ws/6zYGlF

FreeBet
0-0 @ 14.0

We’ve got a couple of bets siding with Utd and it might be worth getting 0-0 onside – the goalless draw last week was the fourth time the pair had drawn blanks against each other in 10 head to heads and just looks a little big.

Betfred £5 FB x 2 (one from football offer, one from MMA promo)
One of these should be credited by 12 and expires 9am tomorrow, the other should be credited “within 24hrs” and is valid 7 days.

Man Utd @ 6/4
Tottenham and Under 3.5 @ 29/20

£5 FB double @ 6.12 (both £5 freebets if credited in time)

I think Utd are a reasonable price against Liverpool, when we look at their relative standings Utd are 6pts in front in the league and do not have the injury crisis or crisis of confidence that Liverpool have. The Merseysiders have now won only three of their last 10 and one of those was against a Villa youth side. Tottenham should be beating Wycombe tomorrow but with Liverpool three days later Mourinho won’t be going full strength and a low scoring win looks most likely.

Paddypower – Power Price

Sunday’s Turbo Power Price:
£5 Leicester, Fulham and Everton all to win @ 6.5

This should be about a point shorter and is worth taking to small stakes.

Sunday 17th January

Posted on January 17, 2021January 17, 2021 by Paul Ruffy

BetfairSportsbook £10 FB

Atalanta v Genoa 17:00
Half Time/Full Time, Atalanta/Atalanta@1.73

Lyon v Metz 20:00
Half Time/Full Time, Lyon/Lyon @1.83

Bayern Munich v Freiburg 14:30
Match Odds and Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Bayern Munich/Over 2.5 Goals @1.44

£10 FB Treble @ 4.57

8 of Atalanta’s 9 wins have seen them in front at HT. 9 of Lyon’s 11 wins have seen them up at the break.
All of Bayern’s 10 wins have also seen over 2.5 goals.

Betfred £5 FB Refund (should be credited by 12)

Sheff U v Tottenham 14:00
Tottenham/Tottenham Ht/Ft @ 13/8

Atalanta v Genoa 17:00
Atalanta and Over 3.5 @ 13/10

£5 FB double @ 5.98

Betfred Bet £10 get £5 If Both Teams Score – Liverpool v Man Utd

Qualifier

Back Man U for £10 @ 4.0 laying @ 4.1 Smarkets: https://nimb.ws/nqK3zB

FreeBet
Tomorrow if BTTS

Paddypower Racing Refund

£5FB 14:20 Punchestown, Betting W/O, Howaya Aoife @ 8.0

(This is the betting without the favourite, Exit To The West, market)

Paddypower Money back if 2/3/4 13:20 Punchestown

£5 Dreal Deal @ 8.5

Paddypower Risk Free £5 Bet Builder

£5 (via Bet Builder) Bruno Fernandes to score anytime + Man Utd to win @ 6.44

This bet has clicked 7 times this season.

Skybet Bet £5 Fb When you place a bet on Liverpool v Man Utd- opt in required

Qualifier
Opt in first and then you can just back Liverpool for £5 laying on Smarkets: https://nimb.ws/IvHARY

FreeBet

Motherwell v Rangers
Rangers to win to nil @ 1.91

Inter v Juventus
Over 3.5 goals @ 3.50

£5 FB Double @ 6.68

Unibet Bet £10 get £5 x 3

Qualifiers

Sheff U v Tottenham 14:00
Tottenham and BTTS Yes via bet builder @ 3.8 /4.6 lay https://nimb.ws/4d1yEP
(laying on Smarkets “Winner and both teams to score” market, as always)

Liverpool v Man Utd 16:30
Liverpool and BTTS Yes via bet builder @ 3.3 / 3.8 lay https://nimb.ws/2d6lQ5

Man City v Palace 19:15
Man City and BTTS Yes via bet builder @ 3.0 / 3.4 lay https://nimb.ws/5KAan4

Free Bets (inplay)

Sheff U v Tottenham 14:00
1-0 Spurs @ 6.25 as soon as inplay

Liverpool v Man Utd 16:30
Man Utd to win by 1 goal @ 5.6 once inplay (this might mean backing Man U -1 handicap draw)

Man City v Palace 19:15
2-0 Man City @ 6.25 once inplay

Boylesports £10 No-Lose Liverpool v Man Utd 16:30 (Mobile only)

£10 DRAW @ 14/5 (via mobile)

We are on Liverpool to go unbeaten at home, Liverpool to win the League, and the Liv/Man City dual forecast in the outrights, and those bets could come under pressure today.
There’s no denying the stats and Liverpool have in incredible PL home record without a defeat at home since April 2017, Man Utd also do not have a great Anfield record.
But Liverpool without both 1st choice centre backs and without a crowd has to be taken into account. Liverpool have risen superbly to these challenges so far this season, already beating Leicester, Spurs and Arsenal at Anfield but they have been beaten twice and recently goals have dried up, scoring once in their last three PL games. Atalanta showed that Liverpool are beatable at home when winning in the Champions League and Man Utd come here full of confidence. Ole GS will most likely approach this with a goal not to lose and the DRAW is my main bet here, with Utd having drawn three of their 5 games against sides currently in the top 7. I will use the FB with Unibet/Paddys to get with Utd in the win markets.

Sunday 27th December

Posted on December 26, 2020December 27, 2020 by Paul Ruffy

Betfair sportsbook £10 FB

£10 double @ 4.6
Burnley Double chance @ 2.0, West Ham @ 2.3

Leeds and Brighton are teams that are constantly shorter than they should be, and the value looks to be in opposing them with Burnley who have lost only once in seven (v Man City) and West Ham who have won three of their last 6 at home in a run that included both Manchester clubs.

Boylesports £10 Refund

Chelsea v Aston Villa (Monday)
£10 FB Aston Villa @ 4.75

Everything I am seeing from Villa suggests they are too big in this match at the odds. The stats models currently have Villa rated as 7th best side in the Prem.
If they get a goal in front here we will have the option of taking some profit also.

Skybet MBS Race 13:45 Leopardstown 2nd/3rd

£10 Ballydam @ 9/4

Paddypower – Paying 2nd as winner 14:20 Leopardstown

£5 Sea Ducor @ 6.5

Paddypower – Featured Power Price

£12.50 Patrick Bamford to have 1 or more shots on target (vs Burnley) @ 2.0

Paddypower – 20 Turbos of Xmas

£5 Liverpool, Tottenham and West Ham all to win @ 8.0

Betfred Bet £10 inplay Wol/Tot 19:15 get £5

Inplay qualifier required at HT (will tweet)

Monday

Skybet Bet £5 get £5 inplay Liverpool/WBA 16:30

Inplay qualifier required

Wil back BTTS or Overs (if 1.5+) at kick off and lay on Smarkets.

FreeBet
Will tweet at HT

Unibet £10 get £5 free x4

Qualifiers

Leeds v Burnley 12:00
Leeds + BTTS No @ 3.9 /4.3 https://nimb.ws/xVB2wI

West Ham v Brighton 14:15
West Ham + BTTS Yes @ 4.6 /5.3 https://nimb.ws/N2hgA0

Liverpool v West Brom 16:30
Liverpool and Under 2.5 @ 4.25 / 5.3 https://nimb.ws/WeDy3v

Wolves v Spurs 19:15
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 4.6 /5.3 https://nimb.ws/kS0tqh

FreeBets
Leeds v Burnley 12:00
Draw/Draw @ 6.50

West Ham v Brighton 14:15
West Ham by 1 @ 4.10 (exact winning margin, OR use handicap market -1 draw)

Liverpool v West Brom 16:30
4-0 Liverpool @ 8.50 once underway

Wolves v Spurs 19:15
Will use this one at HT as gotta do an inplay qualifier for he Fred off then anyway.(see twitter feed at HT)

Saturday 26th December

Posted on December 26, 2020December 26, 2020 by Paul Ruffy

Betfred Bet £10 inplay – get £5 Leicester v Man Utd ko 12:30

Qualifier

Inplay at HT (wil tweet example)

Freebet (credited by 4pm- must be used today)

Will use this on this evenings games:

Man City to win & BTTS No @ 1.91, Norwich Draw no bet @ 1.91, Sheff Utd v Everton under 2.5 @ 1.8
£5 FB Treble @ 6.19

Unibet Bet £10 get £5 (inplay) x 6

Qualifiers

Leicester/Man Utd 12:30

Draw+BTTS Yes via bet builder: https://nimb.ws/JT0xoR

Aston Villa v Crystal Palace 15:00

Villa + BTTS Yes via bet builder: https://nimb.ws/uhJzSa

Fulham v Southampton 15:00
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 4.3 / 5.0 https://nimb.ws/n4mhwe

Arsenal v Chelsea 17:30
Chelsea + BTTS No @ 3.6 / 4.0 https://nimb.ws/w8n2Ob

Sheff Utd v Everton 20:00
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 4.6 / 5.3 https://nimb.ws/ZqmjNa

Man City v Newcastle 20:00
No Qualifier

Free Bets

Leicester/Man Utd 12:30
Vardy First Goal scorer @ 4.9 once inplay

Villa/Palace 15:00 –
El Ghazi First Goalscorer @ 6.75

Fulham v Southampton 15:00
1-1 correct score once inplay

Arsenal v Chelsea 17:30
We’re on the low scoring draw with B365, so in case of Chelsea being too good: – 3-0 Chelsea @16.0 once inplay

Sheff Utd v Everton 20:00
Everton to win 1-0 @ 7.0 once inplay

Boylesports £10 Risk Free – Leicester v Man Utd 12:30

Match Results and Total goals

£10 Leicester and under 3.5 @10/3

I’m not so sure that this will be the goal-fest that’s being predicted. Leicester’s last five have all featured under 3.5, they were similarly priced underdogs against Spurs and ran out 2-0 winners.

Skybet Price Boost

£10 Fernandes 1+ Shot on Target @ Evens

This would have paid out in 8 of his last 10 starts for Man Utd

Skybet MBS 2nd/3rd 13:15 Kempton

£5 Getareason @ 9.50

Skybet Super Boost

£5 Southampton, Blackburn and Aston Villa all to win @ 12/1

I don’t have many misgivings about any of these and the odds are very good.

Bet365 Upto £50 Free Inplay Arsenal v Chelsea 17:30

Qualifier

Bak / Lay Over 2.5 @ 1.9 /2.02 https://nimb.ws/Hs3L75

FreeBet
Draw and under 3 goals @ 4.75 once kicked off. (alternatively, if that’s not available will just back draw @ 3.6)

I often like to back the draw with this one and today’s match looks a decent opportunity for that to come in.
Chelsea scored three goals away against Burnley, Brighton and West Brom but then have scored a total of three away goals across matches at Wolves, Newcastle, Everton and Man Utd. All of Arsenal’s home matches have gone under 3.5 goals this season and with Arsenal having shored up at the back what we have today is the 3rd best defence against the 6th best so this could be close cagey encounter.

Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £10 Premier League