WillHill Flash Odds

I’be managed to get £10 on this.  £10 Russia to beat Saudi Arabia @ Evens with WillHill (FlashOdds)
(No lay, I’m just letting it run.)

Golden Glove and Mexico Value – Enhanced prices

£7.50 David De Gea to win the Golden Glove @ 5/1 10Bet (Under “WC 18 Boosts”)
The Man Utd keeper is pretty much the reason his team finished as high as they did in the Premier League, as he basically saved more shots from going in that was statistically probable. He is widely regarded as the best keeper in the world and is as short as 7/2 with Ladbrokes for this. Spain conceded just 3 goals in 10 during qualifying. Its decided by the “FIFA Technical Study Group” and there’s a fair chance that there’s an amount of unconscious bias built in to their decision in any case, looking at the list of previous winners who are all obvious selections.

£15 Mexico to be eliminated in the Round of 16 Stage (was 9/4) @ 11/4 Skybet
(Under Price boost countdown – Previous Boosts see https://www.screencast.com/t/R92fQ00eeif )
This looks a really nice price and is as short as 2.65 with other firms.
Mexico, remarkably, have been eliminated at the last 16 stage in each of the last SIX World Cups. They are desperate to escape this hoodoo, but as much as I’m rooting for them from a neutral football fan perspective, it looks perhaps more likely, not less likely, to happen again.
They have two sides who are worse than them in the Group F in Sweden and South Korea and Germany, who should beat them. That means a very difficult last 16 tie with Brazil is quite probable, in which they will be big outsiders to progress.

WillHill FlashOdds

The true price of this should probably be about 2/1 Max. So well worth taking £10.
£10 WillHill FlashOdds SAxon Warrior and England both to win @ 3/1

Saturday Enhanced Odds


England to score in both halves £10 @ 3/1 Corals (Place just after 11am, time limited offer)
England have only scored 4 goals in their last 6 matches but that run includes games against Brazil, Germany, Italy and Holland. And going back further they have scored in both halves in four of their last ten home friendlies, including in two of the three warm up games prior to Euro 2016, so they do tend to be decent in these matches, and the 3/1 represents a value price for me.

With Nigeria having scored in 7 of their last 8 friendlies, England and BTTS would be worth a look if you wanted any other interest in the game.

Real Madrid v Liverpool Odds Boosts

BetfairSportsBook and Corals both have offers revolving around Salah and Ronaldo to score.
The goals expectation is high in this match with both sides favouring attack over defence.

The 5/1 on them both scoring is available with Skybet or Betfair.
The 3/1 either to score the first goal is availble with Coral from 11 am for a limited time only.

I’ll split £15 over both of them.

£7.50 Ronaldo & Salah both to score @ 5/1 (Betfair/Skybet)
£7.50 Ronaldo or Salah to score the first goal @ 3/1 Coral (from 11am for limited time)


I’ve had £20 on the above offer of Evens about Real to lift the trophy, if you dont want to risk £20 you can create a risk free position as shown here:
https://www.screencast.com/t/6gMNJpvfvNT

As I’m putting the £25 Freebet with Bet365 on Liverpool to win in 90 mins this spreads risk.

Cup Finals – Price Boosts

William Hill Scottish Cup Final –
Celtic v Motherwell – Saturday 15:00

£15 Celtic to win by two or more goals in 90mins @ 9/4 (boosted to 2.42/1)
I think this price is way out given that Celtic to win by 3 or more is 15/8 with Skybet and Celtic -1.5 is 1.8 generally! So I’ve taken £15.

Europa League Cup Final 
Marseille v Atletico Madrid 19:45
Betstars Odds Boost : £10 Atletico Madrid to win 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 in 90 minutes @ 15/8.

This price beats dutching these scores on the exchnages and is priced up around 6/4 elsewhere, and it looks the best way to be with Atleti who are worthy favourites in this. (Click on the match first as they are only advertising 7/4 on the main page.)
This match is free to view even if you don’t have BT sport.

 

Aston Villa v Middlesborough 19:45 KO- Betfred Massive Odds Boost

£10 Aston Villa to win in 90 mins @ 2/1 with Betfred

As a Villa fan this match makes me nervous, however there’s no denying how strong Villa have been at home this season, they won 14 of 23 including wins against the best sides including Cardiff, Fulham and Wolves. Whilst they have been below par in a few of the lesser games they seem to have little trouble raising their game at home for the biggest games and I’m fairly confident of a big performance this evening in front of a rammed Villa Park.
They don’t need to win but 2/1 is too big to ignore and well worth a tenner.

Ladbrokes Super Boost

Chelsea have had an up and down season but they have won their last four and should be able to beat Huddersfield at home, who have failed to score in nine away matches against top half opposition. The Coppa Italia final matchup between Juve and Milan could be close but Juve have won the last four head to heads and will be on a high after securing the Serie A title (albeit not mathematically yet). Arsenal away at Leicester would be the worry on paper in this, but Arsenal will want to end Wenger’s tenure in style even if they can only finish 6th, and Leicester have lost three of five at home against the top 6.
£10 Arsenal, Chelsea and Juventus to win @ 5/1 Ladbrokes

Real Madrid v Bayern Promo Prices

Keeping it simple is often the best way to go and I’ll be betting on the fairly obvious this evening with these prices.

Real Madrid v Bayern Munich
£10 Madrid to win and BTTS @ 5/2 Betfred (Enhanced price, or 3.5 on Betfair Exchange)

Key stats:
The home win and BTTS has paid out on 5 of Real’s last 10 home games, and two of the last three head to heads with Bayern.

WillHill:
Champions League Semi Final enhanced special:
£5 Ronaldo, Lewandowski & Salah all to score in 90min @ 7/1 (boost to 7.58/1)

A couple of places has Ronaldo and Lewandowski to score @ 3/1 which is ok, but the best value is this bigger price, including Salah to net, who is as short as 4/6 in the Anytime market.