Saturday 8th August

Paddypower Power Price:

£10 Lionel Messi and Robery Lewandowski both to score in 90mins @ 3.0


Betfairsportsbook £20 freebets:

Kilmarnock v Celtic – Sunday 16:30
£20 Total Goals In Match – Exactly 4 goals @ 4.50

27% of Celtic’s matches last season had 4 goals. And each of the last 3 head to heads have ended 3-1 Celtic.

If you wanted to cash out some or all of the £20 for guaranteed profit here’s an example: https://nimb.ws/A6MSgO


Betfred £5 FB

Am struggling to find much, but will go with Barcelona 1 Napoli 1 correct score @ 7/1, the Camp Nou minus the crowd might not as hard a place to go and Napoli could repeat the 1st leg result.


Skybet MBS 13:50 Ascot

£10 Theotherside @ 4.50

 


Paddypower MBS 14:05 Haydock

£10 Festive Star @ 6.0


 

Saturday 1st August

13.50 Goodwood Skybet MBS 2/3/4/5

This race being a sprint handicap is your typical “lottery” type race, not one to ponder on too much.
With money back on the FOUR placings if we don’t find the winner its definitely worth having a bet however.
Might as well concentrate on those that

£10 Batchelor Boy @ 11.0


Paddypower £5 FB 14:25 Goodwood (hit claim)

£5FB Platitude @ 11.0

Not a lot to recommend most of the principles in this so chancing an outsider might pay. This one has won over this course and distance and is off a low handicap mark.


Betfred 
Football>More>Specials>Saturday football specials:
£10 Aubameyang to score anytime @ 7/4 

As short as 2.2 elsewhere, take the price.


Bet365 upto £50 free inplay (will get £25 so basing advice on that)

qualifier on Arsenal (with the added benefit of the 2 up offer)

https://nimb.ws/OwDXkH

I’m pretty neutral on the FA Cup final betting not really having a strong opinion. I do think Chelsea are worthy favourites but look a tad short in the betting so I’ll look to take advantage of the prices on Arsenal whilst reserving some angles to try and make a profit if Chelsea do prove to be superior on the day such as with the other FBs we have inplay.

Freebet: I’m going to go with my usual tactic of backing the DRAW with the Freebet as soon as match is underway, this looks a good option with Chelsea being too short for any real confidence and leaves us with good trading options to take a profit if its close.


Boylesports £10 risk free (mobile only)

£10 Arsenal @ 3.6
Boylesports are a standout price and 3.6 feels big for Arsenal.


Skybet bet £5 inplay (1st half) get £5 inplay (2nd half) (OPT IN)

This one required an inplay qualifier, advice is to back BTTS once underway and then lay it off as fast as possible in Smarkets, if a goal is scored in between odds will move only in your favour.

Freebet advice at HT via twitter


Unibet Bet £10 get £5

Qualifier:

Place a £10 bet via the bet builder on DRAW + BTTS Yes @ 4.35 and lay off that outcome on Smarkets at 5.1: https://nimb.ws/CwZcNH

Free Bet:
I will look to use this at HT, and tweet my bet.
valid for inplay Ars/Che only


Betfred £5 Risk Free Pick Your Punt

via pick your punt:

£5 Total goals exactly 2 @ 13/5

Whilst the trend is for goals between these two, the average total goals in FA Cup finals is low @ 2.2.


Paddypower MBS all markets – If Chelsea win

£10 Christain Pulisic – Whoscored Man of the Match @ 8.5

I like the look of this bet – Pulisic has been on an upward curve this summer, he’s playing for Chelsea who are favourites here and he picked up this prize (whoscored rating) when Chelsea won against Man City recently.


 

 

Thursday 30th July

Betfred Price Boost Snooker World Champs (31/7 – 15/8)

There will be plenty of people taking maximum stakes on this and laying off on the exchanges – I advise against that, keep stakes small and just take a little bit of value.

£15 Judd Trump to win the 2020 Betfred World Snooker Champs @ 7/2


Paddypower MB if 2/3/4

13:45 Goodwood 
£10 Al Salt @ 5.5

Skybet MB if 2/3

13:45 Goodwood 
£10 Zabeel Champion @ 5.5


Betfair Exchange £20 FB Betstreak

We kept the full £20 alive yesterday with two decent price winners, hopefully you checked you were matched before kick off!

Fulham v Cardiff kick off 19:45
£10 FB Fulham to win to nil @ 3.55 (requested but matched quickly)

Fulham have won 5 of thier last 10 home games “to nil”, they shut out Cardiff in the 1st leg with a 2-0 win, and they also beat Cardiff 2-0 here in the league earlier in the month. They don’t need to score to get to the play off final, but they won 10 of their 23 home games without conceding and with Cardiff needing to come forward at some stage, they could leave themselves open.

15:15 Goodwood
£10 FB Nazeef @ 4.4
Six straight wins and might still be flying under the radar unexposed at this distance, looks as good a bet as any today.

Betfair Exchange £5 FB
2.45 Goodwood Al Aasy £5 @ 5.50

I’ve placed these in the order above but I believe they are all “betstreak” FB’s so will yeild more FB’s if they win.


Betfred Freebet –
If you did the inpay offer last night and have a FB with Betfred, I suggest any off the above selections, I won’t include this on in my results as I didn’t do do a qualifier yesterday.

Friday 24th July

Pokerstars Requestabet Friday’s (opt in and click start first)

Qualifiers:
Leicester – Manchester Utd
Over 0.5 Goals in Each Half
£5 @ 1.67

Newcastle Utd – Liverpool
Over 0.5 Goals in Each Half
£5 @ 1.50

Goals should hopefully be forthcoming at both Leicester who are missing four defenders including both first choice full backs. And at Newcastle who might as well attack Liverpool who’s matches where they’ve made changes have typically been entertaining affairs.

FreeBet

AC Milan – Atalanta today, 20:45 BST

£5 FB Ante Rebic to score, AC Milan to win and BTTS @ 7.0

This evenings clash between Milan and Atalanta looks a tasty match up with both sides in form, the value however looks to be with the home side who are unbeaten in 10 and have beaten Roma, Lazio and most notably Juve since the restart. We can get 6/1 on them winning with Rebic scoring and BTTS, something that’s happened in three of thier last nine games.


Weekend Acca: Paddypower (money back if one loses)

Everton v Bournemouth – Double Chance
Everton And Draw @ 1.36

Leicester v Man Utd – Double Chance
Man Utd And Draw @ 1.3

Southampton v Sheff Utd- Match Odds
Southampton @ 2.10

West Ham v Aston Villa – Double Chance
West Ham and Draw @ 1.57

£10 Accumulator  @ 5.85

Man Utd haven’t lost to Leicester in 11 meetings and with Leicester having won only two of eight since the restart and missing several key men at the back, Utd can avoid defeat again and claim a place in the Champions League. Bournemouth are at the last chance saloon but they’ve been there for a while now and save for a freak result against Leicester haven’t looked like getting the results they need. They’ve lost 9 of thier last 12 and Everton haven’t lost at home since November. Villa have won just 2 of 18 away games so it would take a big leap of faith to back them at 2.32 away against West Ham, regardless of the need for pts. West Ham have been playing much better and in form Antonio might be hard to stop, and in any case Villa could find themselves only needing a point (or nothing at all) with their relegation rivals also facing tricky away fixtures. Southampton is the one that’s more difficult to back up with stats, as they have been better  away from home, Sheffield Utd have just 2pts from five away games since the restart however scoring just one goal in those games. The Saints have scored in 7 of their last 8 and with Danny Ings looking bang on form he could be the difference.


Skybet Priceboost:

£10 Liverpool, Tottenham & Arsenal all to win (was 3/1) @ 5/1

Arsenal and Tottenham look acceptable prices before the boost this weekend so happy to take the price on this one. Liverpool should be beating Newcastle yet that one remains more of an unknown as the price could go either way depending on the lineup, but Newcastle have conceded 12 goals in thier last 5 so Liverpool should be able to outscore them so long as thier rearguard isn’t too hung over or switched off.

Friday 17th July

Betfair Sportsbook £5FB Multiples:

West Ham v Watford
West Ham@2.5

Huddersfield v West Brom
West Brom@1.67

£5FB Double @ 4.17

Watford have lost 11 of 17 away from home, West Ham will be looking at their remaining fixtures and perhaps not expecting anything from Old Trafford so will be banking on 3pts here. The price @ 2.5 looks nice, a draw would push both closer to safety but I think West Ham have enough about them. Coupling that with a West Brom side who are on the brink of promotion and should be able to beat a Huddersfield side than are creating virtually nothing going forward of late.


Betfred Bet £10 (inplay) get £5

West Ham Watford kicks off at 8pm so qualifier at HT about 8:45 (via twitter for those that want example)

Freebet advice:
Saturday


Paddypower 

Racing Post NAP “This Will Not Be Beaten” -Power Price
Under Football> Specials

£5 Millwall to bt QPR, Southampton to bt Bournemouth & Sheff Utd to bt Everton @ 15.0


Pokerstarts RAB Fridays (opt in through promos, then click start)

English Championship Huddersfield Town – West Brom (17:30 kick off today)
£5 West Brom to score over 0.5 goals in each half @ 3.0

English FA Cup
Arsenal – Manchester City Sat 19:45
£5 Manchester City to score over 0.5 goals in each half @ 1.83

FreeBet:
English FA Cup
Manchester Utd – Chelsea Sun 18:00
£5 Chelsea to score over 0.5 goals in each half @ 4.0


Also today:

Coral HT Winner – suggest cash out £50 FB from yesterday.
Here’s an example https://nimb.ws/CLdfE2 it does require a lot of liquidity however.
As an alternate use of the FB I suggest a three short priced selections (1.50 – 2.0)  and using the whole FB on 3 x £16.50 doubles, this will mean something back from 2 correct and nice winner from 3 correct, whist avoiding the risk of a big win on the bookmaker account or looking like a matched bettor by taking a big price with the Fb to cash out. This is higher risk but I will post my doubles later on twitter.

SkyBet Virtuals £10 get £5 free (21:30 – 23:30)

Saturday 11th July

Paddypower Power Prices

RP Postcast NAP
£5 West Ham, Nttm Forest, & Oxford all to win @ 15.0

 


Skybet Priceboost

£7 Liverpool & West Brom to win & Chelsea to draw with Sheffield Utd (was 8/1) @ 11/1
£3 Liverpool, West Brom & Sheffield Utd all to win (was 12/1) @ 18/1

Chelsea are creating lots of chances but are not the most solid at the back and on the road they have actually only won 2 of their last 7. Even in winning at Villa and Palace both of those matches could have ended in draws so I think Sheff Utd could be good enough to at least avoid defeat. I will cover the home win but want most profit on the draw, assuming the other two results (where we dont have the options) come in.


Paddypower £10 Racing Refund FB

21:57 Keeneland (US) Jolie Olimpica £10 FB @ 4.0 

Paddypower MBS 14:25 Newmarket

£10 Odeyssey Girl @ 7.0


Skybet MBS Race 13:50 Newmarket

£10 Finest Sound @ 3.0


Betfred £5 Risk Free UFC

Usman v Masvidal

Pick Your Punt – Bet Requests
Usman To Win By Ko/Tko Via Punches £5 @ 9/4

This one doesn’t look likely to go the full distance and Usman’s last two inside the distance were by punches TKO/KO.


Betfred Bet £10 get £5 (inplay)

Qualifier:
I will post an example via twitter at HT in the early kick off (so about 1:15pm)

FB advice Sunday


Betfair Sportsbook FB

Watford v Newcastle (12:30)
Same Game Multi
Draw and BTTS
£5 Double @ 4.65

Newcastle have been more attacking since securing their safety and Watford whilst being leaky will need to come forward and should also score, the home side in particular might see a point as something to hold onto this weekend so that looks a decent option here.

Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples (opt in first)

Qualifier

Brighton v Man City (20:00)
Handicap Match Result
Brighton ( + 2 ) @2.0
Atletico Madrid v Betis (21:00)
Atletico Madrid @1.4

£10 Double @2.80

Its easy to be in awe of City with their home wins over Newcastle, Liverpool, Burnley and Arsenal since the restart being very impressive. On the road however they have lost 3 of their last 4 and haven’t over come a 2 goal handicap away from home since Aston Villa away in January. City could be excused for lacking focus here with their PL position assured and the Champions League on the horizon and although City could absolutely turn it on, the value looks to be with the home side having a 2 goal start. In Spain Atlei have won 7 of their last 9 at home and 6 of the last 7 H2H with Betis. With a Champion League spot to secure their focus should be there and a home win looks a solid bet.


Also today:
Coral HT Winner – I will tweet qualifiers for those following this one.

Saturday 4th July

Skybet Priceboost Treble

Skybet are being generous with this one, having gotten off the hook with West Ham coming from behind to beat Chelsea midweek.
£10 Man Utd, Leicester and Leeds all to win @ 7/2


Skybet  – Money Back as Cash If your horse finishes 2nd in 14.25 Epsom

£10 Safe Voyage @ 2.10

Skybet  – Money Back as Cash If your horse finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th in 16.55 Epsom

£10 English King @ 5.00

Keeping these simple today, cant have Kameko in the Derby over the mile and a half and that price could mean English King is a value favourite.


Paddypower £5 FreeBets: Claim via banners.

Paddypower 14:25 Epsom £5 FB Oh This Is Us @ 7.50


Chelsea v Watford £5 FB (20:00 ko)

#WhatOddsPaddy up to 9/1-
Chelsea to win 2-0 or 3-0 @ 4.20


Boylesports £10 FB (refund from Thursday’s offer)

Juventus v Torino (16:15)
Juventus to win to Nil @ 1.95
Wolves v Arsenal (17:30)
Wolves @ 2.30

£10 FB double @ 3.49


Betfair Sportsbook £5 FB

Wolves v Arsenal (17:30)
Half With Most Goals – Second Half @2.2
Leverkusen v Bayern Munich (German Cup Final 19:00)
Bayern Munich And Over 3.5 @2.25

£5 FB double @4.95
You will need to use the all markets tab to find these bets.

Betfair sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 Multiples (opt in)

Qualifier:
Lazio v AC Milan (20:45)
Both teams to Score? Yes @1.73
Leverkusen v Bayern Munich (German Cup Final 19:00)
To Lift The Trophy – Bayern Munich @1.13
£10 double @ 1.96

 


Betfred £5 FB (refund from pick your punt)

Wolves v Arsenal (17:30)
£5FB  Wolves to win and Under 2.5 goals @ 4.20

 


Betfred Bet £10 get £5 (inplay)

Inplay qualifier at HT NOR/BRI @ 1.15pm  see twitter

FreeBet advice – Sunday


Paddypower Acca 

Chelsea v Watford (20:00)
Chelsea @ 1.40
Juventus v Torino (16:15)
Juventus @ 1.25
Leverkusen v B Munich (German Cup Final 19:00)
B Munich and over 1.5 @ 1.36
Liverpool v Aston Villa (Sunday 16:30)
Liverpool and over 1.5 @ 1.40

£10 four fold @ 3.34

 

 

Wednesday 1st July

Skybet Priceboost

This one shouldn’t be any more than around 4/1.

£10 Arsenal, Chelsea and Notts Forest all to win @ 11/2 Skybet


Betfred £5 Pick Your Punt Risk Free

Bournemouth v Newcastle (18:00)
I am minded to think that Bournemouth will get something from this game having had the extra time to prepare in the knowledge that its probably their bast chance of getting a win between now and the end of the season.  Newcastle have only lost two of their last 10 however and thier doggedness might result in another stalemate here.  I will add in BTTS as Bournemouth haven’t kept a clean sheet in 14 matches.

£5 Draw plus BTTS Yes via pick your punt builder @ 3/1 


Betfair Sportsbook £5 FB

Arsenal v Norwich
Arsenal To Win to Nil @2.6

Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente
Sporting Lisbon @1.62
£5 Double @ 4.2

Norwich have now scored just one goal in seven Premier League matches.  They may struggle again against Arsenal who will probably dominate possession. Sporting have won 10 of 14 at home this season where they are typically very hard to beat, two defeats against Benfica and Porto are forgivable given those two are streets ahead of the rest. Gil Vicente have seven straight league losses at Sporting.

Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples
Qualifier:

West Ham v Chelsea
Away Team Over 1.5 @1.57
SPAL v AC Milan
AC Milan @1.53

£10 Double @2.41

West Ham have conceded 2 or more in 9 of 15 at home. Chelsea have scored two or more in 7 of their last 10 competitive matches, with the sides stopping them being Man Utd, Bayern Munich and Leicester. SPAL have the worse home record in Serie A and have lost their last 6 at home. Milan have started well after the restart winning both their League games whilst holding Juve in the Cup and conceding only 1 goal.


also today:
Sky Bet Virtuals £10 get £5 free (21:30 – 23:30)
Coral HT Winner – might be worth looking at this one today, will sort my qualifiers shortly and tweet them

Saturday 27th June

Skybet Priceboost

£10 Man Utd, Leeds and Birmingham all to win @ 6/1
These three look good solid favourites and 7/2 ish would be a fair price.


Boylesports £10 Risk Free Nor/Man U (mobile only)

Terms:

£10 via mobile – Man Utd to win and over 3.5 @12/5

Utd look strong and have already beaten Norwich 3-1 and 4-0 this season.


Betfred Bet £10 (inplay) get £5

Will look to do a qualifier at HT Villa/Wolves approx 1:15pm (see twitter for example)

FreeBet Advice:
Sunday


Betfred £5 FB (outstanding from midweek)

Union Berlin v Fortuna Dusseldorf (14:30)
Union Berlin or Draw @ 8/11
Ateltico v Alaves (21:00)
Atletico to win to nil @ 8/11
BATE Borisov v Dinamo Minsk (18:30)
BATE Borisov Draw No Bet @ 1.37

Treble @ 4.07

Last game of the season in Germany and Dusseldorf have are playing to stay up whilst Union are safe. It seems as though the market has been skewed too far in favour of the side that need the points here though.
Fortuna might have only lost two of thier last 11, but they’ve been drawing most matches, and have won only two Bundesliga matches in 2020. Fortuna will be in a relegation play off even if they win and a draw should be enough for them barring a wide margin Werder Bremem win. So the odds on the home side double chance @ 8/11 look decent.
Alaves have failed to score in three of their last four, whilst Atelico have won thier last three without conceding, with the fast turnaournd favouring the bigger squads of the likes of Atleti it could be rough night for Alaves who failed to register one shot on target in thier last match. I will finish off the treble with Bate DNB – the last time they lost at home was September 2019, they are unbeaten in 12 this season.


Betfairsportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples:

£5 FB Treble @ 5.73

Aston Villa v Wolves (12:30)
Wolves @1.8
BATE Borisov v Dinamo Minsk (18:30)
BATE Borisov @1.91
Swansea v Luton (12:30)
Swansea @1.67

Wolves have 6 clean sheets in 7 PL matches and have been impressive since before the restart, whilst Villa haven’t improved for the break and Grealish hasn’t been as influential. Belarusian “Clasico” day sees Bate take on Dinamo Minsk and I cant fathom why they are such a price. Bate have won 6 of their last 8 matches, have won the last 8 head to head matches and are 10pts better than their rivals this season so far. (20 pts better last season). In the Championship Luton have lost 15 of their 19 away games, and face a Swansea side looking up after being impressive winners at Boro last time out.

Betfairsportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples:
£10 Qualifier:
(opt in first!)

£10 Double @2.83

Celta Vigo v Barcelona (16:00)
Barcelona @1.57
Lazio v Fiorentina (20:45)
Lazio @ 1.8

 

Barcelona’s defence has been better than their attack of late which is bad news for Celta. Barca have only failed to win two in 10 now – away at Sevilla and Real and look likely to put in another good showing as they try to maintain pace with Real in the La Liga title race. Lazio suffered a collapse last time out against Atalanta, losing 3-2 after being 2-0 up. That might have severely dented their title chances but the season isn’t done yet and they’d won 16 of the previous 18 prior to that loss. There’s been a big drift on them which is alarming, but whatever the reasoning for that, the market often overreacts, and on all known evidence they are a good price.


13:50 Newcastle Money Back Specials

Paddypower

£10 Mubakker @ 3.50
Cant see a lot wrong with the favourite in this one.

Skybet

£5 win Judicial @ 8.0
This one has a been placed top 3 in 18 of 36 races and was in good form 3 weeks ago.


Also today:

Coral HT Winner upto £50 FB – strategy for this one: place qualifying bet to lose a small amount on either the home or away side and hope they are winning at HT but do not win.
The approximate odds of this happening are 10/1 ish. Be sure your returns (including stakes) are going to be below £50. Advice is to not bother with trying to cash out at HT using a calculator as Coral are notorious for not paying out Freebets and you could end up our of pocket. If you land any £50FBs just take it as a bonus.
(terms https://sports.coral.co.uk/promotions/details/halftimewinner )

I will post qualifying examples on Twitter shortly.

Wednesday 24th June

Skybet Priceboost

£10 Liverpool, Man Utd and Everton all to win @ 4/1

This one looks like a nice offering from Skybet, all three are solid favourites, and it should probably be no bigger than 11/4.

 


Betfair Exchange £5 FB Betstreak

Newcastle v Villa (18:00)
£5 Newcastle to win and under 3.5 goals (matched @ 3.25)

As good as Newcastle were against Sheff Utd, this is probably more so a bet against Aston Villa, who have been very poor since the restart. Despite the need for points Villa lacked urgency against Sheff Utd and Chelsea as well as showing very little in the final third. Newcastle have won 6 times at home whilst Villa have lost 11 of 15 on the road. Only 1 of 15 Newcastle home games has seen more than 3.5 goals.


Betfairsportsbook £5 FB

Atalanta v Lazio (20:45)
Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.38
Man Utd v Sheff Utd (18:00)
Man Utd To Win to Nil @2.0

£5 FB Double @ 4.75

10 of 13 home matches for Atalanta saw over 3.5 goals, and they are clearly in decent nick after the shutdown scoring 4 in their last match, Lazio scored 7 last time out, albeit in a friendly. Sheff Utd managed just 12 shots on goal in two games back so far, with only two on target.


Betfairsportsbook Bet £10 get £5 multiples (opt in)

£10 Treble @ 2.77
Wolves v Bournemouth (18:00)
Wolves @ 1.55
Real Madrid v Mallorca
Real Madrid @1.15
Atalanta v Lazio (20:45)
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.55

Two classy sides at home against struggling sides and overs on the match in Bergamo, where 12 of 13 matches have seen over 2.5.


Betfred Risk Free Pick Your Punt £5

Qualifier:
£5 Liverpool 1-0 (first half result), Liverpool win (full time result) @9/4 via Pick Your Punt

Having thrown a £5 FB at 14/1 on Palace already, I’ll side with a more conventional bet here.
Liverpool have been 1-0 up at HT in 40% of their matches at Anfield this season, so the 9/4 about 1-0 HT, Liv full-time looks very fair.

 


Also today:

SkyBet £10 get £5 free Virtuals – (21:30 – 23:30)
Strategy – split qualifying bets into 2 x £5 bets on favs in virtual football. Back the draw or an outsider at 3.75 or above with FB.

Coral HT Winner upto £50 FB – strategy for this one: place qualifying bet to lose a small amount on either the home or away side and hope they are winning at HT but do not win.
The approximate odds of this happening are 10/1 ish.  Be sure your returns (including stakes) are going to be below £50. Advice is to not bother with trying to cash out at HT using a calculator as Coral are notorious for not paying out Freebets and you could end up our of pocket. If you land any £50FBs just take it as a bonus.
(terms https://sports.coral.co.uk/promotions/details/halftimewinner )

I will post qualifying examples on Twitter shortly.