Paddypower MBS 12:40 Newcastle
£10 Manjaam @ 4.33
Paddypower Turbo Power Price
£7.50 Leeds, West Ham and Chelsea all to win @ 8.0
This one looks marginally better than the Skybet boost for me this weekend. If you cant take the Paddy Price I would get involved with the Skybet Boost.
Betfred Bet £10 get £5 Snooker
Qualifier – 13:00 start
Back Dave Gilbert @ 7/4, lay at 3.05 Smarkets: https://nimb.ws/0WAtFb
FreeBet (by 19:00)
Murphy to win 6-4 @ 11/2
Unibet Bet £10 get £5 inplay
Arsenal v C Palace
Qualifier
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 5.0 / 5.9 https://nimb.ws/XVbg3I
FreeBet (inplay)
Zaha first goalscorer @ 9.0
Zaha has scored more goals than any Arsenal player this season scoring 8 goals for Palace which is nearly 40% of their goals so far. He has opened the scoring 3 times in 16 starts,
Paddypower
Snooker – Featured Power Price
£10 Kyren Wilson and Shaun Murphy both to win @ 3.5
Betfred offer this boosted at 3.0 which is arguably value, but Paddys 3.5 looks like a fair chunk of value.
Paddypower MBS Race 14:20 Southwell
£7.50 Lion’s Vigil @ 4.20
Paddypower – Turbo Power Price
£20 – 2 or more goals in each 1:30pm English FA Cup match (normal time only) @ 4.50
This one works out best priced 3.16 elsewhere so represents a decent chunk of value and warrants a £20 stake (https://nimb.ws/LgY0kM)
Of course, it is still more likely not to win than to win so reduce stakes if not comfortable with £20.
Unibet Bet £10 get £5 x 3
NFL Qualifier:
Cleveland Browns @ 3.2 /3.65 https://nimb.ws/iGgAKO
Chelsea v Morecambe – No Qualifier (that I can find)
Stockport v West Ham – Tomorrow
Betfred Masters Bet £10 get £5 -13:00 start
Qualifier:
Dave Gilbert @ 1.73 /1.91 https://nimb.ws/tFhHC8
I’m not sure how this will work given the errors in the terms above and the two cancelled games today, but will see If the qualifier is cheap and play it by ear.
Betfred Risk Free Pick Your Punt FA Cup – kicks offs from 13:30
Bristol City v Portsmouth
£5 Portsmouth to win and Under 2.5 (via pick your punt builder) @ 7/2
Championship Bristol City are without a number of players and have lost 5 of their last 7 league games, with four being 1-0 or 2-0 defeats. Portsmouth have had an enforced lay off which should have given them time to prepare for this and they have kept five straight clean sheets.
Skybet Game of Two halves – Marine v Tottenham 17:00
Qualifier
Once inplay back overs or BTTS so long as above 1.5 and lay off straight away
FreeBet
Will Tweet at HT
Boylesports £10 FreeBet Refund
Aberdeen v Rangers 15:00
Correct Score Groups – Rangers to win 1-0,2-0 or 2-1 @ 7/5
Ajax v PSV 15:45
Ajax @ 8/13
£10 FB double @ 3.88
Rangers have won 54% of their away games by one of 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1.
Ajax have scored 20 more goals than rivals PSV in the Eredivisie.
PaddyPower MBS Race 13:20 Lingfield
£10 Jumping Cats @ 4.0
Paddypower Turbo Power Price
£10 Everton, Millwall, Norwich all to win @ 5.0
Betfred Bet £10 inplay get £5 – FA Cup
Qualifier
Inplay – action at HT kick off 19:45
Free Bet
To follow Saturday
Betfred Bet £30 get £10 – Tennis FB Club
Qualifiers – Inplay
Take care with these as they can be tricky, bet at the start or early on in matches and try and bet during breaks which can be followed live on Bet365.
I will post my qualifiers for reference on Twitter. Potential matches this afternoon.
FB
To follow
Betfred Centruy Break Snooker Offer
Qualifier
Betfred Masters 2021 Outrights (starts Sunday)
Back Judd Trump @ 3.5 laying @ 3.85 : https://nimb.ws/7c1aXm
FreeBets
To follow when credited
Unibet Bet £10 get £5 inplay – Aston Villa v Liverpool
Not sure about the qualifier on this one as Unibet dont seem to have the BTTS option on the bet builder for the game.
Will update if it’s possible later.
Skybet Bet x get £5 – opt in required
Qualifier
£5 Liverpool to win and over 2.5 goals @ 1.73
FreeBet
tba
Unibet Bet £10 get £5 x 2
Qualifiers
Tottenham v Fulham 18:00 (may be postponed)
Tottenham + BTTS Yes @ 3.50 / 4.2 https://nimb.ws/kZueGS
Newcastle v Liverpool 20:00
Liverpool and Under 2.5 goals @ 4.2 / 5.1 https://nimb.ws/gIMHl7
Freebets, to be used inplay
Tottenham to win 2-0 @ 6.50
Liverpool to win by 2 goals exactly @ 4.10
Paddypower £10 Refund (MBS Race)
I will take the money from this by underlaying a racing bet.
Example: https://nimb.ws/08pGTW
Paddypower 20 Turbos of Xmas –
£10 Liverpool and Swansea both to win @ 4.0
Paddypower MBS 13:15 Leopardstown
£5 The Stroryteller @ 7.5 (used powerup)
Skybet MBS 13:30 Catterick
£6 The Russian Doyen @ 6.0
Skybet Priceboost
£10 Vardy 1+ Shot on Target @ Evens
Betfred £5 FB (to be credited by 5pm)
Got a bet riding on Villa already but with the City match off there are no other games remaining today.
Villa have four clean sheets in five and have already beaten Arsenal, Leiceter and Wolves away from home without conceded, so the 9.0 on the away win to Nil is tempting enough.
Villa win and BTTS No @ 9/1
Unibet Bet £10 get £5 inplay x 3
Qualifiers:
Leicester to win and BTTS Yes @ 4.1 /4.8 https://nimb.ws/LBK4iM
Chelsea and BTTS Yes @ 3.1 / 3.55 https://nimb.ws/kY6Sa4
Everton v City – Off
FreeBets
C Palace v Leicester
H Barnes to score @ 3.9
Barnes has 4 in his last 8 for Leicester
Chelsea v Villa
El Ghazi, Anwar First Goalscorer @ 10.5 (check he’s starting)
Having been promoted to penalty duties ElGhazi looks too big @ 10.5
Everton v City – Off
Betfair sportsbook £10 FB
£10 double @ 4.6
Burnley Double chance @ 2.0, West Ham @ 2.3
Leeds and Brighton are teams that are constantly shorter than they should be, and the value looks to be in opposing them with Burnley who have lost only once in seven (v Man City) and West Ham who have won three of their last 6 at home in a run that included both Manchester clubs.
Boylesports £10 Refund
Chelsea v Aston Villa (Monday)
£10 FB Aston Villa @ 4.75
Everything I am seeing from Villa suggests they are too big in this match at the odds. The stats models currently have Villa rated as 7th best side in the Prem.
If they get a goal in front here we will have the option of taking some profit also.
Skybet MBS Race 13:45 Leopardstown 2nd/3rd
£10 Ballydam @ 9/4
Paddypower – Paying 2nd as winner 14:20 Leopardstown
£5 Sea Ducor @ 6.5
Paddypower – Featured Power Price
£12.50 Patrick Bamford to have 1 or more shots on target (vs Burnley) @ 2.0
Paddypower – 20 Turbos of Xmas
£5 Liverpool, Tottenham and West Ham all to win @ 8.0
Betfred Bet £10 inplay Wol/Tot 19:15 get £5
Inplay qualifier required at HT (will tweet)
FB
Monday
Skybet Bet £5 get £5 inplay Liverpool/WBA 16:30
Inplay qualifier required
Wil back BTTS or Overs (if 1.5+) at kick off and lay on Smarkets.
FreeBet
Will tweet at HT
Unibet £10 get £5 free x4
Qualifiers
Leeds v Burnley 12:00
Leeds + BTTS No @ 3.9 /4.3 https://nimb.ws/xVB2wI
West Ham v Brighton 14:15
West Ham + BTTS Yes @ 4.6 /5.3 https://nimb.ws/N2hgA0
Liverpool v West Brom 16:30
Liverpool and Under 2.5 @ 4.25 / 5.3 https://nimb.ws/WeDy3v
Wolves v Spurs 19:15
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 4.6 /5.3 https://nimb.ws/kS0tqh
FreeBets
Leeds v Burnley 12:00
Draw/Draw @ 6.50
West Ham v Brighton 14:15
West Ham by 1 @ 4.10 (exact winning margin, OR use handicap market -1 draw)
Liverpool v West Brom 16:30
4-0 Liverpool @ 8.50 once underway
Wolves v Spurs 19:15
Will use this one at HT as gotta do an inplay qualifier for he Fred off then anyway.(see twitter feed at HT)
Betfred Bet £10 inplay – get £5 Leicester v Man Utd ko 12:30
Qualifier
Inplay at HT (wil tweet example)
Freebet (credited by 4pm- must be used today)
Will use this on this evenings games:
Man City to win & BTTS No @ 1.91, Norwich Draw no bet @ 1.91, Sheff Utd v Everton under 2.5 @ 1.8
£5 FB Treble @ 6.19
Unibet Bet £10 get £5 (inplay) x 6
Qualifiers
Leicester/Man Utd 12:30
Draw+BTTS Yes via bet builder: https://nimb.ws/JT0xoR
Aston Villa v Crystal Palace 15:00
Villa + BTTS Yes via bet builder: https://nimb.ws/uhJzSa
Fulham v Southampton 15:00
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 4.3 / 5.0 https://nimb.ws/n4mhwe
Arsenal v Chelsea 17:30
Chelsea + BTTS No @ 3.6 / 4.0 https://nimb.ws/w8n2Ob
Sheff Utd v Everton 20:00
Draw + BTTS Yes @ 4.6 / 5.3 https://nimb.ws/ZqmjNa
Man City v Newcastle 20:00
No Qualifier
Free Bets
Leicester/Man Utd 12:30
Vardy First Goal scorer @ 4.9 once inplay
Villa/Palace 15:00 –
El Ghazi First Goalscorer @ 6.75
Fulham v Southampton 15:00
1-1 correct score once inplay
Arsenal v Chelsea 17:30
We’re on the low scoring draw with B365, so in case of Chelsea being too good: – 3-0 Chelsea @16.0 once inplay
Sheff Utd v Everton 20:00
Everton to win 1-0 @ 7.0 once inplay
Boylesports £10 Risk Free – Leicester v Man Utd 12:30
Match Results and Total goals
£10 Leicester and under 3.5 @10/3
I’m not so sure that this will be the goal-fest that’s being predicted. Leicester’s last five have all featured under 3.5, they were similarly priced underdogs against Spurs and ran out 2-0 winners.
Skybet Price Boost
£10 Fernandes 1+ Shot on Target @ Evens
This would have paid out in 8 of his last 10 starts for Man Utd
Skybet MBS 2nd/3rd 13:15 Kempton
£5 Getareason @ 9.50
Skybet Super Boost
£5 Southampton, Blackburn and Aston Villa all to win @ 12/1
I don’t have many misgivings about any of these and the odds are very good.
Bet365 Upto £50 Free Inplay Arsenal v Chelsea 17:30
Qualifier
Bak / Lay Over 2.5 @ 1.9 /2.02 https://nimb.ws/Hs3L75
FreeBet
Draw and under 3 goals @ 4.75 once kicked off. (alternatively, if that’s not available will just back draw @ 3.6)
I often like to back the draw with this one and today’s match looks a decent opportunity for that to come in.
Chelsea scored three goals away against Burnley, Brighton and West Brom but then have scored a total of three away goals across matches at Wolves, Newcastle, Everton and Man Utd. All of Arsenal’s home matches have gone under 3.5 goals this season and with Arsenal having shored up at the back what we have today is the 3rd best defence against the 6th best so this could be close cagey encounter.
Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 get £10 Premier League
Qualifier
Man Utd and Yes via Same Game Multi tab @ 3.7 laying @ 4.4 Smarkets: https://nimb.ws/xupfI8
Free Bet
Sunday
Betfair Exchange £5 FB 15:00 Kempton
£5FB Cyrname @ 3.70
Paddypower £5 FB
£5 FB Treble @ 8.4
Swansea @2.4 (away @ QPR, Championship), Charlton @1.91 (v Plymouth L1), Bristol City (v Wycombe, Championship) @ 1.83
Ladbrokes £1 FB
Leicester, Villa, Arsenal/Chelsea Draw Treble @ 17.36/1
Paddypower Power Price
£10 Tottenham & Man Utd both to win @ 4.50
Man Utd are probably a tad short at 2.29 but this means we are effectively getting them @ 3.0, which looks value.
Unibet £5 FB
Stoke City – Tottenham 17:30
First goalscorer G Bale @ 5.40
Bale needs the minutes and is a likely starter in this one with Kane and Son perhaps rested with a period of 3 PL in a week coming up. He is also a likely penalty taker.
Check starting line ups 16:30 ish, this FB is valid until the 29th.
Next update 26th December (Check late 25th December as I might post up early for a busy boxing day)
BoyleSports £10 No Lose Mobile Bet – C Palace v Liverpool 12:30
£10 Draw @ 3/1
Liverpool have drawn four of their six away so far.
Betfair Sportsbook Bet £10 on Same Game multi, get £10
Qualifier
C.Palace v Liverpool 12:30
Liverpool and BTTS Yes @ 2.93 via the same game multi, laying @ 3.6 Smarkets https://nimb.ws/2ucli0
FreeBet
tba
Skybet MBS 2/3/4 13:50 Ascot
£5 Mengli Khan @ 9.50
Unibet Bet £10 Bet Builder, get £5 inplay Everton v Arsenal 17:30
Qualifier
Draw + BTTS Yes via Bet Builder @4.25 laying @ 5.0 Smarkets: https://nimb.ws/jmcBLQ
FreeBet
Once inplay – I will take Everton to win to nil (or win + BTTS No), my 2nd choice would be Everton to win by 1 goal.
Betfred Bet £10 get £5 x 2
Qualifier 1 Inplay Everton v Arsenal 17:30
Will action this at HT ~18:20 and tweet example
Qualifier 2 Strictly Come Dancing :
We can bet Bill Bailey @ 1.8 or HRVY @ 2.75 and lay them off on Betfair here: https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/special-bets/market/1.172689860
At the time of writing HRVY is actually an Arb meaning we coule make profit out of the qualifier. That might not do the account any good so I did mine on Bill @ 1.8/1.99: https://nimb.ws/VRsqHl
FreeBets Advice
Sunday
Late bet:
Paddypower – Saturday’s Turbo Power Price
This would have paid out in 11 of 18 starts this season for him and he’s an average of over 1 shot on target per game over his career.
£10 Sadio Mane 1 or more shots on target (v Crystal Palace) @2.0