Weekend Bets

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Skybet Priceboost

£10 Chelsea, Brentford & Bournemouth all to win @ 6.0

We’re not having much joy with enhanced prices so far this season but this will even out over time and some big value with this not being much over 3/1 in real chances.

Skybet Bet Bet £5 get £5 (opt in required)

Qualifier:
Back Liverpool at 1.8 for £5 laying at 1.9 Smarkets: https://nimb.ws/KUzp6d

Freebet:
Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid (Sat)
Atletico win to win to nil @ 2.63
Getafe v Barcelona (Sat)
Barcelona to win to nil @ 2.88
£5 FB double @ 7.55

Barcelona have two clean sheets from 3 in La Liga and have the lowest Xg against @ 1.4. Barca have won two of the last three head to heads “to nil” and Getafe have the lowest expected goals for @ 2.3 having played four games.
Niether Getafe or Atletico have scored in over 180 minutes of football so a goal could be enough in Vigo, Atleti have more options up front however and it’s hard to see the likes of Costa, Suarez and Joao Felix having a dry spell lasting much longer.

Paddypower £10 FB (refund from Acca)

Sheff Utd v Fulham (Sun)
Sheff utd @ 2.10
Inter v AC Milan (Sat)
Inter @ 2.3
£10 double @ 4.83

Sheff Utd and Fulham have both had identical starts and lost all four matches. I’m minded to give Sheff Utd more forgiveness though since they played the whole game vs Villa with 10 men and they certainly have more scope for improvement, particularly now that they have added a useful looking striker with Rhian Brewster. At the back, Fulham look worse than Sheff Utd and that could be the difference.
In the Milan Derby (“Derby della Madonnina’) Inter are rightly favourites but still look a nice enough price. They’ve won the last four renewals and although Milan are in form, having lost only twice in 2020, one of those losses was this fixture in February when they threw away a 2 goal lead to lose 4-2.

 

Saturday 10th October

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Skybet Priceboost:

£10 Portsmouth, Lincoln & Peterborough all to win @ 7/1

Skybet MBS 2/3 13:45 Newmarket

£10 win Kyprios @ 3.25

Paddypower MBS 14:20 Newmarket 2/3/4

£10 Latest Generation @ 6.50

£5 Racing refund from yesterdays offer – cash out as example here: https://nimb.ws/IB8iLZ

Betfred £5 FB (refund)

Spain v Switzerland
spain to win to nil @ 11/8
Ukraine v Germany
BTTS @ 4/6
Cheltenham Town v Crawley
Cheltenham @ 10/11
£5 FB Treble @ 6.55

Pokerstars £5 FB (RAB Friday offer)

£5 Treble as above
Faroes to bt Latvia @ 2.25
Malta Draw no bet against Andorra @ 1.72
Forest Green Rovers to bt Scunthorpe @ 2.0

£5 Treble @ 7.77

 

 

Sunday 27th Septmeber

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Boylesports £10 Refund

Motherwell v Rangers (12:00)
Rangers win to nil @ 21/20
Man City v Leicester (16:30)
BTTS @7/10
£10 FB Double @ 3.49

Rangers have conceded 2 goals in 8 Premeirship games in Scotland.
Leicester have scored in four of their last five visits to the Eitihad.

Betfred £5 Free Bet (from yesterdays inplay offer)
Should be credited by 12
Sheff Utd v Leeds (12:00)
The market has gone a bit Leeds mad and looking at the Xg they have overachieved in the amount of goals they’ve scored.
I don’t think Sheff Utd look like being as good as last season but this is a Derby match and the last two head to heads have seen only two goals, they will be very motivated and could outperform their under dog tag here. The best bet however I think is Draw and unders @ 3/1
Draw and under 2.5 goals @ 3/1

Betfred PYP Sunday Cross Match (via banner)
£7.50 Rual Jimenez and Harry Kane to score at anytime @ 7/2

This one should be no more than 4.20
Jimenez has three in three vs West Ham and Kane has scored in each of his last three.

Betfred £5 Risk Free Pick Your Punt

Man City v Leicester
Pick your punt – Match>what will score be>1st Half 2-0 Man City @ 9/2, £5
Man City were 2-0 up at HT in each of their last six PL matches.

Paddypower MBS 14:00 Curragh

£10 Angel Palm @ 5.0

Weekend Offers and Accas

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Skybet
Soccer Saturday Price Boost
£7.50 Chelsea, Everton and Brentford to win @ 8.50
£2.50 Chelsea, Everton and Brentford to Draw with Millwall @ 12.00

Chelsea have a very winnable fixture against West Brom and Everton are looking in great shape playing very well. Brentford have a tricky fixture but there’s market confidence about them and the treble is worth backing, with a little insurance on the option including the Millwall/Brentford Draw bearing in mind Millwall are yet to concede in the League and the last three H2H at the Den have seen only four goals.

Featured Price Boost

£10 Bruno Fernandes 1+ shot on target @ Evens
Fernandes achieved this 13 times in 22 matches for Utd overall last season and this bet would have paid out in each of his last 6 matches for club and country.

Paddypower

Football>Specials> Racing Post NAP ‘This Will Not Be Beaten’
£5 Blackpool (v Gillingham), Leeds (v Sheff Utd) & Juventus (v Roma) all to win @ 15.0

Boylesports £10 risk free Brighton v Man Utd (Mobile ONLY)

£10 on Brighton @ 4.75 via mobile

Brighton had more possession and more shots in their 3-1 loss to Chelsea. They’ve won all three fixtures since then scoring nine times without conceding including a dominant 3-0 win at Newcastle. Utd will undoubtedly be harder but at the prices, they look worth a punt with this risk free £10.

 

Saturday 19th September

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Skybet MBS 13:40 Newbury

£10 Equilateral @ 9/4
Can’t argue with the favourite in this, 5f though so any missteps/slow start has a big impact. Worth getting involved with the refund offer but not one to make too many assumptions about.

Skybet Super Boost

£10 Man Utd, Leeds and Brentford all to win @ 5/1

Forget 2/1 being anything like the true odds on this one but 5/1 has to be taken.

Ladbrokes £1 FB

Acca:
BTTS No in all of Eve/WBA, LEE/FUL, MAN/PAL.
HT Draw in ARS/WHU
SOU/TOT Draw

£1 Five fold Acca @ 45.97/1

Paddypower Specials – Power Prices

Football>Specials>

Racing Post NAP ‘This Will Not Be Beaten’
£5 Everton win to nil, Ipswich, Dortmund & Carlisle to win @ 19.0

Like the look of this one.

Saturday’s Featured Power Prices:
£5 Arsenal, Celta Vigo & Roma all to win @ 7.50

This one is a shade of value too.

Paddypower MBS 14:15 Newbury

£10 Tenbury Wells @ 4.0

Consistent improving form at the distance so this one looks likely to be involved at the very least.

Paddypower £5 FB Chelsea v Liverpool

£5 FB Result and BTTS – Draw and BTTS @ 4.20

This is a tough one to call this early in the season and it may well be that avoiding defeat at this stage is more important than winning.
4 of the last 10 H2Hs have actually ended 1-1.

Betfred £5 Refund

Draw Trixe:
Newcastle v Brighton Draw @ 11/5
Southampton v Tottenham Draw @ 12/5
Leicester v Burnley Draw @ 3/1
£1.25 Trixie using FB (total stake £5)

Betfred Bet £10 (inplay 12:30 ko) get £5

Qualifier:  inplay at HT, so around 13:15, I will tweet an example.

FreeBet
Will use at later date, Sunday/Monday

Betfred £5 Risk Free Pick Your Punt Arsenal v West Ham 20:00 kick off

£5 Draw/Arsenal Half/Full Result @ 3/1 (via pick your punt builder)
The Draw/Arsenal Ht/Ft double result has paid out in four of the last 7 League head to heads.

Boylesports £10 Risk Free Everton v West Brom (Mobile Only) 12:30 kick off

£10 via Bet Builder – Everton to win to nil + Over 4.5 Home corners @ 12/5

WBA managed just one shot on target against Leicester and Everton should have a lot of the ball here limiting the away team’s chances again.

Also today,
Genting have a £1 per goal offer Chelsea v Liverpool, WillHill have a bet £10 get £5 in shop offer.

Monday 14th September

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Bit to sort through today with something like £45 worth of Freebets outstanding.
We don’t want to have to too many riding on the same outcomes and we want to try and be betting these on reasonable value bets as well.

Betfair Exchange 
Sheff Utd v Wolves (18:00)
£10 (bonus funds) Draw @ 3.10

Two organised sides meet here and with only three goals in the two head to heads last season I wouldn’t expect many goals. Wolves drew 7 times away from home last season, and when you look at the results against those outside the top 5 and bottom 5, they drew a whopping 10 games from 18.

Betfair Sportsbook
Brighton v Chelsea (20:15)
£10 bonus funds Chelsea to win and BTTS @ 3.25

7 of Chelsea’s 8 away wins last season saw both teams score.

Betfred £5 FB (refund)
Sheff Utd v Wolves (18:00)
We’ve got the draw covered above, but there could also be value covering a correct score with a repeat of the July scoreline 1-0 Sheff Utd @ 7.50 – Sheff Uts won 26% of their home games 1-0 last season.
Henderson is a big loss in goal but the rest of the defense will have a familiar look to it.
£5 FB 1-0 Sheff Utd @ 7.50

Betfair Exchange Bet £20 get £5 – Opt in first! (Betstreak)
Not yet used the all Freebets from Saturday but another offer to take advantage of today.

For the qualifier you can back Chelsea @ 1.64 for £20 on Betfair Exchange and lay them off at 1.65 Smarkets for minimal loss: https://nimb.ws/n3kiRJ

Skybet Super Boost

This one looks worth a nibble today

£5 Timo Werner 3+ shots on target @ 5/1 Skybet Priceboost

 

Thursday 13th August

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Betfred £5 FB (credited by 5pm)

RB Leipzig v Atletico Madrid (20:00)

Correct Score, £5 FB Atletico 1-0 @ 6/1

Not got much beyond the obvious on this one, but that is often the best policy. Atleti beat Liverpool 1-0 and lost 1-0 (away, before going through in ET) in the last round.
They’ve won 4 of their last 16 in La Liga by 1-0 and it could be another archetypal Atletico performance again this evening.

Paddy Power – Power Price

£5 Atletico Madrid to win 1-0 or 2-0 @ 5.0

This should be shorter than 7/2, so 4/1 is a value price.

Saturday 8th August

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Paddypower Power Price:

£10 Lionel Messi and Robery Lewandowski both to score in 90mins @ 3.0

Betfairsportsbook £20 freebets:

Kilmarnock v Celtic – Sunday 16:30
£20 Total Goals In Match – Exactly 4 goals @ 4.50

27% of Celtic’s matches last season had 4 goals. And each of the last 3 head to heads have ended 3-1 Celtic.

If you wanted to cash out some or all of the £20 for guaranteed profit here’s an example: https://nimb.ws/A6MSgO

Betfred £5 FB

Am struggling to find much, but will go with Barcelona 1 Napoli 1 correct score @ 7/1, the Camp Nou minus the crowd might not as hard a place to go and Napoli could repeat the 1st leg result.

Skybet MBS 13:50 Ascot

£10 Theotherside @ 4.50

 

Paddypower MBS 14:05 Haydock

£10 Festive Star @ 6.0

 

Saturday 1st August

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13.50 Goodwood Skybet MBS 2/3/4/5

This race being a sprint handicap is your typical “lottery” type race, not one to ponder on too much.
With money back on the FOUR placings if we don’t find the winner its definitely worth having a bet however.
Might as well concentrate on those that

£10 Batchelor Boy @ 11.0

Paddypower £5 FB 14:25 Goodwood (hit claim)

£5FB Platitude @ 11.0

Not a lot to recommend most of the principles in this so chancing an outsider might pay. This one has won over this course and distance and is off a low handicap mark.

Betfred 
Football>More>Specials>Saturday football specials:
£10 Aubameyang to score anytime @ 7/4 

As short as 2.2 elsewhere, take the price.

Bet365 upto £50 free inplay (will get £25 so basing advice on that)

qualifier on Arsenal (with the added benefit of the 2 up offer)

https://nimb.ws/OwDXkH

I’m pretty neutral on the FA Cup final betting not really having a strong opinion. I do think Chelsea are worthy favourites but look a tad short in the betting so I’ll look to take advantage of the prices on Arsenal whilst reserving some angles to try and make a profit if Chelsea do prove to be superior on the day such as with the other FBs we have inplay.

Freebet: I’m going to go with my usual tactic of backing the DRAW with the Freebet as soon as match is underway, this looks a good option with Chelsea being too short for any real confidence and leaves us with good trading options to take a profit if its close.

Boylesports £10 risk free (mobile only)

£10 Arsenal @ 3.6
Boylesports are a standout price and 3.6 feels big for Arsenal.

Skybet bet £5 inplay (1st half) get £5 inplay (2nd half) (OPT IN)

This one required an inplay qualifier, advice is to back BTTS once underway and then lay it off as fast as possible in Smarkets, if a goal is scored in between odds will move only in your favour.

Freebet advice at HT via twitter

Unibet Bet £10 get £5

Qualifier:

Place a £10 bet via the bet builder on DRAW + BTTS Yes @ 4.35 and lay off that outcome on Smarkets at 5.1: https://nimb.ws/CwZcNH

Free Bet:
I will look to use this at HT, and tweet my bet.
valid for inplay Ars/Che only

Betfred £5 Risk Free Pick Your Punt

via pick your punt:

£5 Total goals exactly 2 @ 13/5

Whilst the trend is for goals between these two, the average total goals in FA Cup finals is low @ 2.2.

Paddypower MBS all markets – If Chelsea win

£10 Christain Pulisic – Whoscored Man of the Match @ 8.5

I like the look of this bet – Pulisic has been on an upward curve this summer, he’s playing for Chelsea who are favourites here and he picked up this prize (whoscored rating) when Chelsea won against Man City recently.

 

 

Thursday 30th July

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Betfred Price Boost Snooker World Champs (31/7 – 15/8)

There will be plenty of people taking maximum stakes on this and laying off on the exchanges – I advise against that, keep stakes small and just take a little bit of value.

£15 Judd Trump to win the 2020 Betfred World Snooker Champs @ 7/2

Paddypower MB if 2/3/4

13:45 Goodwood 
£10 Al Salt @ 5.5

Skybet MB if 2/3

13:45 Goodwood 
£10 Zabeel Champion @ 5.5

Betfair Exchange £20 FB Betstreak

We kept the full £20 alive yesterday with two decent price winners, hopefully you checked you were matched before kick off!

Fulham v Cardiff kick off 19:45
£10 FB Fulham to win to nil @ 3.55 (requested but matched quickly)

Fulham have won 5 of thier last 10 home games “to nil”, they shut out Cardiff in the 1st leg with a 2-0 win, and they also beat Cardiff 2-0 here in the league earlier in the month. They don’t need to score to get to the play off final, but they won 10 of their 23 home games without conceding and with Cardiff needing to come forward at some stage, they could leave themselves open.

15:15 Goodwood
£10 FB Nazeef @ 4.4
Six straight wins and might still be flying under the radar unexposed at this distance, looks as good a bet as any today.

Betfair Exchange £5 FB
2.45 Goodwood Al Aasy £5 @ 5.50

I’ve placed these in the order above but I believe they are all “betstreak” FB’s so will yeild more FB’s if they win.

Betfred Freebet –
If you did the inpay offer last night and have a FB with Betfred, I suggest any off the above selections, I won’t include this on in my results as I didn’t do do a qualifier yesterday.