Thursday 26th Oct

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Ladbrokes 5 Fold (Acca Insurance)

Brighton v Ajax – Total Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 @ 1.28

Roma v Slavia Prague – Winner
Roma @ 1.73

Liverpool v Toulouse – Winner
Liverpool @ 1.2

Bayer Leverkusen v FK Qarabag – Winner
Bayer Leverkusen @ 1.17

AZ Alkmaar v Aston Villa – Winner
Aston Villa @ 2.05

£10 Acca boosted to 5.77/1 with acca insurance

BetMGM Boost(Claim required)

Europa Conference League
26 Oct 2023, 17:45
AZ Alkmaar – Aston Villa

First Goal Scorer Watkins, Ollie

£5 @ 5.20 10.4

Surprisinly Watkins starts this one and his strike partner Diaby is rested. He’s comfortably the most likely player on the pitch to open the scoring so 10.4 is clearly a nice price.

 

Wednesday 25th October

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BetMGM  100% Golden Boost (Claim Required)

Champions League, 20:00
Celtic – Atlético Madrid
£5 First Goal Scorer, Griezmann, Antoine @ 4.80 8.60

Griezmann is on fire for Atleti, scoring a record breaking hat-trick on Saturday. He’s opened the scoring 3 times already this season making the price look very worthwhile.

Betfred £5 Free Bet (From yesterday’s Inplay Offer)

Specials>Wednesday Football Special>Social Treble
£5 FB Ipswich, Leeds and Southampton All To Win @ 8/1

This looks a nice price and has solid chances.

I wouldn’t take boosts with all the FBs and would also rememeber to some mug betting here and there on accounts such as Betfred.

Unibet £5 Free Bet Multi

Brighton v Ajax Over 3.5 goals @ 23/25
Liverpool v Nottm Forest, Half Time Liverpool @ 13/20
Aston Villa v Luton Town, Half Time Aston Villa @ 13/20

£5 FB Treble @ 17/4

Tuesday 24th October

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Betfred £10 Free Bet (From Weekend Refund Offer)

Sevilla v Arsenal
BTTS Yes @ 4/5
Man Utd v Copenhagen
BTTS Yes @ 4/5
Newcastle v Dortmund
BTTS Yes @ 4/6

£10 FB Treble @ 4.4/1

Bet MGM 100% Profit Boost (Claim Required)

S.C. Braga – Real Madrid 20:00

First Goal Scorer
£5 Bellingham, Jude @ 5.80 10.6
Laying £5.10 @ 6.4 Betfair or Smarkets

https://nimb.ws/YupUL6

Betfred Bet £10 get £5 Inplay Offer

QL
Action in play at HT this evening.
Will Tweet my QL as usual

Free Bet Advice
Weds

Unibet Bet £10 BetBuilder get £5

Was surprised to see this one available on an account I had marked as gubbed – so always worth checking back in now and then!

QL (-£1.47)
Arsenal and BTTS Yes @ 3.55 via BetBuilder laying @ 4.1 Smarkets: https://nimb.ws/alKj5q

Free Bet
Weds

Ladbrokes 5 Fold (Acca Insurance)
20.00 Kick Off

Braga v Real Madrid
Real Madrid @ 4/9
Man Utd v FC Copenhagen
Over 1.5 @ 1/9
Leicester v Sunderland
Over 1.5 @ 2/11
Union Berlin v Napoli
Over 2.5 @ 20/21
Young Boys v Man City (Weds)
Over 2.5 @ 4/9

£10 Acca @ 4.67/1 (Boosted, with Acca Insurance)

Sunday 22nd Oct

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Betfred Bet £10 get £5 (inplay) Cricket 09:30 start

QL (-£0.55)
NZ to win the Toss https://nimb.ws/PJ4Ldr

Free Bet (Inplay)

I am out all day today so not sure I’l be able to action this but suggested bets for inplay are:
NZ Top Run Scorer Will Young @ 4/1
OR
NZ top wicket taker Trent Boult @ 3/1

Betfred £5 Free Bet (From inplay offer)
Should be credited by 12

Aston Villa @1.83
Barcelona @ 1.62
Lyon @ 1.80
£5 FB Treble @5.34

BetMGM £5 Free Bet

As shown below:

BetMGM Profit Boost (Claim Required)

Salernitana – Cagliari 14.00
£5 Half Time/Full Time – Draw/Draw @ 8.60

These pair have scored only 3 goals between them over 10 games combined. There’s a chance this could provide an opportunity to hedge by laying the draw late on, provided it was level at the break.

Betfred £10 Refund

Will hold for now

 

Saturday 21st October

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WillHill Epic Odds – Liverpool v Everton 12:30

£10 Salah to Score or Assist @ 2.0

This would have paid out in 7 of 8 starts thus far

Ladbrokes 5 Fold Acca

Liverpool v Everton (12.30)
Liverpool @ 4/11
Sevilla v Real Madrid
Real Madrid @ 3/4
Wolfsburg v Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen @ 8/11
Hearts v Celtic (Sunday)
Celtic @ 1/2
Fiorentina v Empoli (Monday)
Fiorentina @ 2/5

£7.50 Acca @ 7.65/1 with Acca Insurance (will use boost on another bet to follow)

Betfred £10 Risk Free Liverpool v Everton 12:30

£10 PickYourPunt @ 7/2:
Everton Most Team Booking Points (90 mins)
Amadou Onana 2+ Tackles (90 mins)
Under 3.5 Goals (90 mins)
Liverpool Win (90 mins)

Betfred Bet £10 Inplay get £5

QL
Action at HT during one of the two evening PL games today

Free Bet
Sunday

Ladbrokes £10 Free Bet (Acca Refund)

Burnley or Draw Double Chance @ 19/20
Newcastle & Under 3.5 @ Evens
Swindon or Draw @ 2/5 (League 2)

£10 FB Treble @ 4.46/1

I was going to place another Acca with Ladbrokes all playing to day but it appears Acca insurance is only applied once per day, no matter when bet settles.
I will instead use the selections as a qualifier for the below offer with BetMGM:

BetMGM Bet £10 get £5 (Claim Required)

£10 Acca:

Mainz 05 – Bayern München
Bayern München @ 1.28

PSV Eindhoven – Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven @ 1.13

Nottingham Forest – Luton Town
Total Goals Over 1.5 @ 1.34

Newcastle United – Crystal Palace
Total Goals Under 2.5 @ 1.91

£10 @ 3.70

£10 BetBuilder (laying off)
Man City Win and Both Teams To Score @ 2.50, laying @ 2.76 BetfairExchange, loss of -£1.05:  https://nimb.ws/LGuTri

BetMGM 100% Profit Boost

£5 England to win by 1-12 points (Winner) @ 11.80

Carrying on the trend of using these on the Rugby, I think the value might be opposing the favourites this evening.
Although a South Africa win looks the most likley result the prices aren’t very attractive, and if England can stay in the game we might have an opportunity to hedge it at some point.

 

Friday 20th Oct

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BetMGM Boost (Claim Required)

£5 NewZealand to win by 31-40 pts @ 10.60

Have weekend selections for an Acca pencilled in but will finalize tomorrow morning.

Wednesday 18th October

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BetMGM 100% Golden Boost (Claim required)

USA, MLS
Inter Miami CF – Charlotte FC 01:00 tomorrow
3-Way Handicap, Starts 1-0, £5 Draw @ 7.80 4.40

Due to the timing I won’t be looking to hedge inplay.

This would have paid out in 5 in Inter’s 16 home games.
Plus they have lost 16 of 30 matches without Messi. Scoring an average of 1.16 conceding 1.63.

Ps – I am hearing of accounts already gubbed with BetMGM – Whilst its not an account I expect to last a long time, its still worth doing some mug betting if you have the time. Using a betmacher is the best way to do this so you lose only very small amounts on each “mug bet”.

Ladbrokes £10 Refund

Its not everyday San Marino will down an Acca, but it happened this week.
At the end of the day upsets happen in football, otherwise bookies would be out of business, we’re doing well this season and we have a refund to go again so we move on.

I will look to post a bet by the weekend for this.

Monday 16th October

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Ladbrokes 5 Fold

Malta v Ukraine – Winner, Ukraine @ 1.22
San Marino v Denmark – Both Teams To Score, No @ 1.13
England v Italy – Winner, England @ 1.61
Gibraltar v Republic of Ireland – Total Goals Over/Under, Over 2.5 @ 1.4
Belgium v Sweden – Both Teams To Score, Yes @ 1.67

£10 Acca @ 4.79/1 (Boosted) with Acca Insurance

BetMGM 100% Profit Boost (Claim req.)

Greece – Netherlands
£5 Greece @ 8.0

Greece were rated 5/2 shots earlier so to get 7/1 is very generous about an improving side.

 

Sunday 15th October

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BetMGM 100% Bet Boost (Claim required)

Poland v Moldova (19.45) Correct Score
£5 2-0 @ 9.50

Betfred £5 Free Bet (From Inplay RU Offer)

*Should be credited by 4pm*

England v Fiji
Winning Margin – England win by 1-12 pts Inclusive @ 9/5

France v South Africa
Other>Double Result
France-France @ 13/10

£5 FB Double @ 5.44/1

Ladbrokes 5 Team Acca

Switzerland to bt Belarus @ 1/9 (17.00)
Spain to bt Norway @ 19/20
Croatia to bt Wales @ 10/11
Romania to bt Andorra @ 1/9
Turkey to bt Latvia @ 2/13

£10 Acca @ 4.2/1 (Boosted) with Acca Insurance

 

Saturday 14th October

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Ladbrokes Acca – Hedging
We have just Ukraine outstanding, I won’t hedge @ 1.62 but will hedge if they go a goal up at a shorter price.
You do of course have the option to gaurantee yourself a profit by laying Ukraine now, just work out how much potential profit you are ok with giving up.

BetMGM Golden Boost

Northern Ireland – San Marino 14.00
£5 Correct score 2-0 @ 15.00 using Golden Boost
Might have the option to lay this one inplay like we did yesterday. So follow my Twitter for updates on that front.

See https://matchdayprofits.com/blog/2023/10/14/saturday-value-bet/ for reasoning

Betfred Bet £10 get £5

QL
Action inplay today on one of the RU World Cup games starting at 16.00 or 20.00 (I will share QL on Twitter)

 

Free Bet
Sunday