Saturday 11th September

Posted on September 10, 2021September 11, 2021 by Paul Ruffy

MBS Race 14:00 Chester suggested bets
SkyBet MB as cash 2nd/3rd £10 Alounak @ 2.75
Paddypower MB as Fb if 2nd/3rd/4th £10 Alignak @ 3.50

WillHill Enhanced Odds

£10 Ronaldo to score @ 2/1 WillHill

We’re already on this with SkyBet, so you have the option to lay off, however, be aware matched bettors are driving up the lay price.
(You can back Ronaldo not to score @ 2.18 Unibet)

32Red – Upto £20 in free bets – Opt in Required

BetBuilder QL (-£1.17)
Leicester v Man City – Draw and BTTS Yes @ 4.9 / 6.4 : https://nimb.ws/N6l0HM

FB
Arsenal v Norwich
Arsenal to win and Aubameyang to score 2+ goals @ 6.75 via Bet Builder
(Note: I had to click on the single tab and back for the Fb option to show)
Aubameyang has scored 2 goals in each of his last two games against Norwich.

£5 Free Inplay Bet QL – Action on the early Kick Off (Palace v Spurs 12:30)
FB – TBA
I will use this at HT on the early kick off, updating via twitter (it is credited instantly on placing the QL)

£5 Free Acca QL (No Lay)
Chelsea – Aston Villa
Chelsea @ 1.28
St Johnstone – Rangers FC
Rangers FC @ 1.47
RB Leipzig – Bayern München
Bayern München or Draw Double Chance @ 1.40
Empoli – Venezia
Empoli or Draw Double Chance @ 1.23
Espanyol – Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid or Draw Double Chance @ 1.24
£5 Five Fold @ 4.02

FB (Must be on Treble or greater)
Chelsea to win to nil @ 1.89
Bayern to bt Leipzig @ 2.15
Rangers to win to Nil @ 2.20 (12:30 kick off)
£5 FB Treble @ 8.94

Betfred £10 No Lose Pick Your Punt – Chelsea v Aston Villa 17:30

£10 HT/FT Chelsea/Chelsea, Aston Villa under 0.5 goals, Total goals under 4.50 @15/8

As a Villa fan is pains me to say it but I think Villa will be outclassed here. The European Champs have kept 8 clean sheets in 11 home Pl games under Tuchel and Villa haven’t been starting games well. 15/8 on this seems fair enough.

Betfred £10 Pick Your Punt Refund (£5 + £5)

Bayern Munich @ 6/5
Mainz on the Handicap +1 @ 8/11 (kick off 14:30)
£10 FB Double @ 3.8

PokerStars Acca Offer (opt in required)

QL (-£1.72)
Here is my lay side for the £10 treble QL: nimb.ws/xUlVWz

FB
Empoli to bt Venezia @ 1.65 (14:00 kick off)
Charlton to bt Cheltenham @ 1.90 (League One 15:00)
Marseille +1 to bt Monaco @ 1.85 (20:00)
£5 FB Treble @ 5.80

**Update**
Skybet Priceboost – Palace v Spurs 12:30

£10 Harry Kane 1+ shot on target @ 2.0

SkyBet PriceBoost – Tennis (21:00)
Emma Raducanu v Leylah Fernandez
US Open Women’s Final

£5 Emma Raducanu To Win 2-0 (Set Betting) & Serve The Most Aces (WAS 5/2) @ 5.0

This will act to somewhat hedge our outright bet on Fernandez, but is otherwise a value bet in its own right.

Friday 10th September

Posted on September 10, 2021September 10, 2021 by Paul Ruffy

MBS Race 13:40 Doncaster
MB as Fb if 2/3/4 with PaddyPower suggested bet £10 Hoo Ya Mal @3.75
MB as cash if 2nd/3rd with Skybet suffested bet £10 Ribhi @ 4.50

Boylesports £5 FB (From NFL offer)
Brentford to beat Brighton @ 2.80
Wolves to beat Watford @ 2.30
£5 FB double @ 6.44

Two sides I want to be with this weekend are Brentford and Wolves. Wolves have been good so far but results have been unkind, they will surely get the win their performances have warranted before long.
Brentford have also looked decent so far and I’d have them potentially in the 13th/15th area. I don’t think Brighton are a great deal better than that at all – they were 16th last season after all, and I’d have Brentford nearer to 11/8 than 9/5.

SkyBet PriceBoost (1)

£10 Cristiano Ronaldo to score @ 3.0

Ronaldo is as short as 1.36 in this market with others.

SkyBet Soccer Saturday Priceboost (2)

£10 Manchester Utd, Manchester City & West Ham all to win @ 7.0

All three look solid at their prices and this is decent value.

Betfred £5 No Lose PickYourPunt Birmingham v Derby 20:00 this evening

£5 HT/FT Draw/Birmingham, Birmingham under 2.5 Team Goals @ 4/1 via Pick Your Punt Builder

Derby have lost 8 out of 10 Championship away games, however, they were level at the break in 6 of those.
Birmingham have scored 2 goals or less in 8 of their last 10 Championship wins.

Betfred £5 No Lose PickYourPunt US Open Mens Semi’s

Felix Auger Aliassime v Daniil Medvedev – 20:00 today
£5 Felix Auger Aliassime to win & Over 3.5.5 Games @ 6/1 (under pick your punt bet requests)

Buoyed by the efforts of his compatriot who has already upset the odds to reach the women’s final, Felix Auger Aliassime could do the same in the mens draw, tennis pundits have been suggesting the Canadian is underrated by the market for some time and he is an attractive price. The over 35.5 mark isn’t a certainty but would seem logical that he is unlikely to blow the World no2 away.

Bet365 £5 Free Bet

Chelsea v Aston Villa
£5 FB Chelsea to win 2-0 @ 6.50

Chelsea have won 7 of their last 20 competitive home games 2-0.

Saturday 4th September

Posted on September 4, 2021September 4, 2021 by Paul Ruffy

PaddyPower Money Back as FB if 2/3/4
14:20 Haydock
£10 Praiano @ 7/2

SkyBet Money Back as Cash if 2nd
14:20 Haydock
£10 Valley Forge @ 6/5

PokerStars Acca Offer (opt in required)

QL
I am doing a squential lay qualifier on this one, see : https://nimb.ws/hnL4v8
(To get access to the calculator you will need a Profit Acca membership)

Free Bet

Scotland v Moldova
Scotland and No @ 4/6 (Match Result and Both Teams to Score)
England v Andorra
England -4 @ 17/20
Belarus v Wales
Wales and No @ 5/4 (Match Result and Both Teams to Score)

£5 FB Treble @ 5.07/1

Moldova have lost 12 of their last 13 games to nil. Wales have kept clean sheets in 9 of their last 15, and that run included games where Belgium, France, Italy and Denmark scored against them so the case for a Welsh win to nil looks strong. England have scored at least 4 in 10 of their last 30 matches, historically they average 4 goals against Andorra but there’s good reason to think this current setup will score at least 5 given they beat San Marino 5-0, Montenegro 7-0 and even Czech Rep were on the wrong end of 5-0 in recent times.

Betfred Bet £30 get £10

QLs
Three matches here none of which were easy to lay off on the Exchanges so with limited choices above 1.5 I instead backed the other side on the 2 way handicaps with other bookmakers, which is effectively the same as laying off the bets.

£10 Castleford -10.5 @ 1.91 Betfred (2 Way Handicap)- Dutched with £10 Salford Red Devils +10.5 @ 1.90 Paddypower (Will lose 90p or a £1)
£10 Leeds -5.5 @ 1.83 Betfred (2 Way Handicap), Dutched with £10 Hull +6 (3 way handicap) @ 2.0 Skybet (Loses £1.70 or nothing)
£10 Catalans +7.5 @ 1.91 Betfred, Dutched with £10 St Helens -7.5 @ 2.0 Betfairsportsbook (loses 90p or nothing)

Free Bet
Monday

Betfred £5 FB per knockdown

QL
Mauricio Lara @ 6/5 back 2.4 lay: https://nimb.ws/gtNBOV

Paddypower Price Boost

£5 Scotland, France and Croatia all to win @ 7/2

Also today:
Mansion Bet £50 on inplay Tennis get £20
BetfairSportsbook Bet £20 on multiples *get £10*