Category Archives: Antepost

Ante-Post Update

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With 19 games completed the Premier League is at the half way stage. So what better time to take a look at how our Ante-Post positions are looking.

I’ll start with the Accas:
Skybet: Luton Town – Top promoted club League 1 @ 10/11, Lincoln – Top 7 League 2 @ 8/11, Preston – Top Half Championship @ 10/11, Fulham to finish higher than Burnley Premier League @ 5/4, £12.50 four fold @ 13.16/1

Luton are in with Wycombe, Accrington and Coventry in the top promoted club, they are in 2nd place with 50 pts, 16 clear of the nearest challenger Accrington, there’s no price but they would be long odds on. In League 2 Lincoln are 4pts clear at the top, and are just 1.22 to be promoted so its looks a very safe bet for them to at least make the top 7.  In the Championship Preston started badly, they have recovered somewhat but are still 4pts away from the top half in 17th, they are now 5/2 from 10/11. Fulham have been a bit of a disaster, that said for this bet Burnley have done us a favour as they’ve been almost as bad with just 1 more point, they are now shorter than Fulham to be relegated so we’re still in with a decent shout on this one. But it looks to revolve around whether Preston can improve on a poor 1st half of the season.

Fulham over 39 pts @ 2.0, Lincoln Top 7 – League 2 @ 1.72, Middlesbrough Top 6 Championship @ 2.0, Burton Top Mids Club L 1 @ 2.87,£10 4 fold @ 19.86 Bet365

Coventry, Shrewsbury and Walsall and Burton Albion are all separated by just 4pts, with Burton having played one game less the 2.87 on that one is very much alive, Middlesborough top 6 is 1.91 with them in 5th currently and Lincoln looks safe, however this bet looks dead with Fulham very unlikely to get 40+pts. They’d need to achieve similar results to what Leicester have achieved in the first half of the season (28pts) averaging about 1.5pts per game.

Golden Boot:
£20 Harry Kane to win the Golden Boot @ 7/2 Betfairsportsbook (Special price) – Now 5/2
£20 on Salah to be topscorer @ 5/1 Netbet – Now 3/1
£10 e/w Sergio Aguero @ 7/1 (boosted to 7.58/1) WillHill – Now 10/1
Top Goalscorer Premier League – £7.50 Eden Hazard @ 8/1 Bet365 – Now 16/1

Kane and Salah trail Aubameyang by 1 on 12 goals each. This one has a long way to run but we’re in a decent position overall. And we’ve backed Aubameyang in the Festive Top Scorer market @ 8/1 which will be decided over the next couple of games.

Outrights:
£10 Fulham to finish in the top half of the Premier League @ 6/1 Bet365 – Forget this one!

£15 EPL side to win the Champions League @ 4/1 with 10Bet – This is looking good at this stage with four English sides left in their prices dutched works out @ 2.83 so the 5.0 was worth taking.

£12 1st Barcelona/2nd Atletico Madrid @ 6/1 Betfairsportsbook (or Unibet) – Barcelona are 1/4 to win the title and Real and Atleti are vying for 2nd favouritism, and with Atelti 5pts clear of Real in 2nd place, 3pts adift of Barca, this one is looking like it will certainly give us a run for our money.

Barcelona & Atletico Madrid Dual forecast @ 4/1, Liverpool Top 2 finish @ 8/11, Aston Villa top 6 finish @ 5/4,£5 treble @19.43 Betfairsportsbook – 
Liverpool top 2 is now 1.08, Aston Villa top 6 is 2.05 and as I’ve mentioned the Barca/Atleti 1-2 is very much on so this is looking good. Villa have dropped a ridiculous amount of points from winning positions, and with a little more guile they can make the top 6, and in Spain we’ll just need Atleti to keep winning as Barcelona are unlikely to let up.

£15 e/w Salford City @ 4/1 BetVic – Salford were flying in the National League but 3 defeats in their last 4 have seen them drop behind in the title race. They are still very much alive however and in better shape than when we backed them into 11/4 from 4/1.

£15 West Ham to finish top half @ 4/1 BetVictor – This was the other 4/1 we took after a poor start to the season, and after a very decent run of results West Ham are now only 1.62 shots to finish in the top half.

£7.50 e/w Arsenal to win the Europa League @ 9/1 Skybet – Arsenal cruised the early stages of this competition and despite being joined at the head of the market by Napoli, Inter and Chelsea they are now 6/1 shots.

£5 Chelsea to win the Premier League @ 11/1 BetVic – This was somewhat a cover type bet for the Liverpool outright but given recent results perhaps just laying City would have been a better way to take them on! Chelsea are out to 100/1 with the title race looking very much between City, Spurs and Liverpool

£10 e/w on Liverpool to win the Premier League @ 4/1 WillHill > boosted to 4.31/1 – Liverpool have had an astonishing first half to the season, are 6pts clear of Spurs having won 16 of 19 games and are now 5/6 to win the league.

There’s a few gone by the wayside already that I’ve not mentioned (all bets on the spreadsheet), so those along with those above which are clearly going to be losers will put us about £51 down. So just one or two of these landing should cover losses and put us in profit and we’ve a decent chance of more than one or two winning.